mightie31

Elite - Menthol - 3-5 (0.375)
80 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 8 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 80/100 Tier dominance: 54th (+0.0 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
12% of games
Shot %
39%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 336.62 2693
33rd
Goals 1.12 9
94th
Assists 0.38 3
12th
Saves 0.75 6
2nd
Shots 2.88 23
71st
Demos 0.38 3
2nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points336.62 #528 / 1215 #87 / 179
Goals1.12 #69 / 1215 #8 / 179
Assists0.38 #761 / 1215 #111 / 179
Saves0.75 #892 / 1215 #127 / 179
Demos0.38 #887 / 1215 #125 / 179

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (8 → ~14 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (73 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 2693 4713 4767 4767 4698 – 4835
Goals 9 16 15 14 11 – 18
Assists 3 5 6 6 3 – 8
Saves 6 10 12 13 9 – 16
Shots 23 40 39 38 33 – 45
Demos 3 5 7 6 4 – 10
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 4 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 326.7
Avg boost 40.7
Boost stolen / game 522.5
% time at 0 boost 11.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1487.3
% supersonic 8.5%
% time high in air 4.8%
Avg distance to ball 2530.9
% time attacking third 21.1%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 2.0
Shooting % 63.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Elite34 0.410.441.21 343
S25Elite39 0.740.671.8 328
S26Elite4 1.750.51.0 327

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.