Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 403.56 | 12914 |
|
| Goals | 1.12 | 36 |
|
| Assists | 0.41 | 13 |
|
| Saves | 1.75 | 56 |
|
| Shots | 2.59 | 83 |
|
| Demos | 0.62 | 20 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 403.56 | #118 / 1213 | #15 / 164 |
| Goals | 1.12 | #80 / 1213 | #12 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.41 | #707 / 1213 | #105 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.75 | #80 / 1213 | #12 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.62 | #718 / 1213 | #109 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (158 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 12914 | 23003 | 22702 | 22702 | 22541 – 22864 |
| Goals | 36 | 64 | 62 | 61 | 54 – 71 |
| Assists | 13 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 18 – 29 |
| Saves | 56 | 100 | 98 | 97 | 87 – 108 |
| Shots | 83 | 148 | 147 | 147 | 134 – 160 |
| Demos | 20 | 36 | 38 | 38 | 31 – 45 |
| MVPs | 7 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 8 – 16 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 343.6 |
| Avg boost | 49.6 |
| Boost stolen / game | 368.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.0% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1417.4 |
| % supersonic | 10.2% |
| % time high in air | 3.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3271.1 |
| % time attacking third | 16.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 43.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Rival | 20 | 0.85 | 0.75 | 1.65 | 335 |
| S21 | Rival | 7 | 0.14 | 0.57 | 1.86 | 296 |
| S22 | Rival | 8 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 1.25 | 358 |
| S23 | Rival | 55 | 0.94 | 0.4 | 1.25 | 371 |
| S24 | Veteran | 24 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 1.5 | 369 |
| S25 | Rival | 51 | 0.65 | 0.29 | 1.35 | 360 |
| S26 | Rival | 32 | 1.12 | 0.41 | 1.75 | 344 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.12 | 1.0 | 0.9 – 1.12 |
| Assists/game | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.39 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.75 | 1.66 | 1.56 – 1.75 |
| Shots/game | 2.59 | 2.56 | 2.37 – 2.75 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluffles | S13 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.38 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| Tootie | S19 | Veteran | 1.12 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.17 |
| ImPodz | S25 | Contender | 0.96 | 0.47 | 1.55 | 1.19 |
| JonathanVanDyk | S22 | Amateur | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| Ezio_256 | S25 | Challenger | 0.94 | 0.55 | 1.65 | 1.37 |
| Ozzy | S21 | Prospect | 0.88 | 0.44 | 1.56 | 1.37 |
| FrequentlyJones | S17 | Veteran | 1.12 | 0.5 | 2.12 | 1.39 |
| Vires | S17 | Prospect | 0.83 | 0.5 | 1.92 | 1.40 |
| StaRazor | S17 | Amateur | 1.07 | 0.54 | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| DrSkimMilk | S21 | Veteran | 1.12 | 0.24 | 2.06 | 1.44 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.