Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 266.95 | 5873 |
|
| Goals | 0.64 | 14 |
|
| Assists | 0.36 | 8 |
|
| Saves | 0.82 | 18 |
|
| Shots | 2.36 | 52 |
|
| Demos | 1.18 | 26 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 266.95 | #866 / 1215 | #115 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.64 | #644 / 1215 | #86 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.36 | #785 / 1215 | #109 / 161 |
| Saves | 0.82 | #868 / 1215 | #119 / 161 |
| Demos | 1.18 | #271 / 1215 | #34 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (22 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (101 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5873 | 9877 | 10132 | 10132 | 10029 – 10234 |
| Goals | 14 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 19 – 29 |
| Assists | 8 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 10 – 18 |
| Saves | 18 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 26 – 38 |
| Shots | 52 | 87 | 88 | 90 | 78 – 97 |
| Demos | 26 | 44 | 43 | 43 | 36 – 49 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 4 |
From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 364.5 |
| Avg boost | 49.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 459.1 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1438.2 |
| % supersonic | 7.9% |
| % time high in air | 2.2% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3158.4 |
| % time attacking third | 21.5% |
| Demos / game | 1.3 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 21.7% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Prospect | 44 | 0.91 | 0.52 | 0.82 | 385 |
| S25 | Contender | 57 | 0.88 | 0.74 | 0.91 | 383 |
| S26 | Prospect | 20 | 0.65 | 0.4 | 0.85 | 365 |
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.