moti

Elite - Fire - 13-17 (0.433)
83 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 30 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 83/100 Tier dominance: 75th (+0.5 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
20% of games
Shot %
31%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 379.77 11393
69th
Goals 0.8 24
52nd
Assists 0.7 21
71st
Saves 1.4 42
49th
Shots 2.6 78
52nd
Demos 1.87 56
95th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points379.77 #218 / 1215 #40 / 179
Goals0.8 #391 / 1215 #59 / 179
Assists0.7 #188 / 1215 #34 / 179
Saves1.4 #355 / 1215 #65 / 179
Demos1.87 #63 / 1215 #7 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (30 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 11393 20128 20006 19855 – 20156
Goals 24 42 42 35 – 49
Assists 21 37 37 30 – 43
Saves 42 74 74 65 – 83
Shots 78 138 138 125 – 150
Demos 56 99 95 85 – 105
MVPs 6 11 10 7 – 14

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

No ballchasing replay data for this player. Advanced stats (boost, speed, positioning, demos) only exist for the ~37% of players whose matches/scrims were uploaded to ballchasing - coverage depends on who uploads, not on the player.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.