orphaned baby pangolin

Prospect - Piranhas - 6-7 (0.462)
22 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 13 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 22/100 Tier dominance: 38th (-0.3 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Role player 🪑 benchwarmer
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
23% of games
Shot %
31%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 265.69 3454
13th
Goals 0.62 8
29th
Assists 0.54 7
53rd
Saves 0.46 6
1st
Shots 2.0 26
20th
Demos 0.62 8
26th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points265.69 #870 / 1215 #116 / 161
Goals0.62 #681 / 1215 #94 / 161
Assists0.54 #462 / 1215 #61 / 161
Saves0.46 #939 / 1215 #132 / 161
Demos0.62 #743 / 1215 #98 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (13 → ~22 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (60 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 3454 5845 6068 6068 5989 – 6146
Goals 8 14 14 16 10 – 18
Assists 7 12 12 12 8 – 15
Saves 6 10 13 13 9 – 17
Shots 26 44 45 48 39 – 52
Demos 8 14 15 15 11 – 19
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 7

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 13 /100

From 11 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 346.3
Avg boost 51.8
Boost stolen / game 478.9
% time at 0 boost 9.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1442.1
% supersonic 9.4%
% time high in air 3.1%
Avg distance to ball 3302.2
% time attacking third 20.7%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 29.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Contender60 1.080.681.2 346
S26Prospect11 0.730.640.46 346

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~33 OVR High confidence — inferred from 183 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 22.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1335508-498 50% 303
RSC (official)2616-7 70% 402
Non-RSC ranked 3v318355-88 38% 278
Non-RSC other1126437-403 52% 305

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.