phyzixs.

Rival - Dracos - 19-8 (0.704)
60 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 27 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 60/100 Tier dominance: 99th (+2.3 SD) Projects as: Veteran ↑ Overskilled for Rival ✓ career-proven Role: Striker / Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
10
37% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 435.3 11753
97th
Goals 1.33 36
98th
Assists 0.74 20
85th
Saves 1.41 38
59th
Shots 4.04 109
99th
Demos 1.11 30
63rd

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points435.3 #34 / 1213 #4 / 164
Goals1.33 #16 / 1213 #2 / 164
Assists0.74 #163 / 1213 #20 / 164
Saves1.41 #346 / 1213 #53 / 164
Demos1.11 #319 / 1213 #48 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (27 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (46 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11753 20894 20453 20453 20302 – 20605
Goals 36 64 61 64 53 – 69
Assists 20 36 35 34 28 – 41
Saves 38 68 67 66 58 – 76
Shots 109 194 186 188 172 – 201
Demos 30 53 53 51 45 – 61
MVPs 10 18 17 17 13 – 21

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 75 /100

From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 368.2
Avg boost 51.3
Boost stolen / game 407.7
% time at 0 boost 8.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1489.2
% supersonic 11.8%
% time high in air 2.0%
Avg distance to ball 2820.9
% time attacking third 22.1%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 1.6
Shooting % 34.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Rival46 1.350.481.22 398
S26Rival27 1.330.741.41 368

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.33 1.25 1.19 – 1.28
Assists/game0.74 0.69 0.62 – 0.75
Saves/game1.41 1.38 1.25 – 1.41
Shots/game4.04 3.51 3.44 – 3.75

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Foretrix S17Veteran 1.420.751.42 1.02
PG_THE3RD S24Veteran 1.290.831.48 1.03
gregy. S17Veteran 1.170.751.25 1.20
mykopolis S17Veteran 1.250.621.62 1.23
Natefrog02 S17Challenger 1.190.811.38 1.29
instnt S23Elite 1.220.611.37 1.32
JustLaben S22Veteran 1.30.71.41 1.33
Rev S20Elite 1.250.621.56 1.43
Tgunn05 S20Rival 1.250.621.25 1.49
NoobZ S20Elite 1.260.651.22 1.55

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.