Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 435.3 | 11753 |
|
| Goals | 1.33 | 36 |
|
| Assists | 0.74 | 20 |
|
| Saves | 1.41 | 38 |
|
| Shots | 4.04 | 109 |
|
| Demos | 1.11 | 30 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 435.3 | #34 / 1213 | #4 / 164 |
| Goals | 1.33 | #16 / 1213 | #2 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.74 | #163 / 1213 | #20 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.41 | #346 / 1213 | #53 / 164 |
| Demos | 1.11 | #319 / 1213 | #48 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (27 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (46 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11753 | 20894 | 20453 | 20453 | 20302 – 20605 |
| Goals | 36 | 64 | 61 | 64 | 53 – 69 |
| Assists | 20 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 28 – 41 |
| Saves | 38 | 68 | 67 | 66 | 58 – 76 |
| Shots | 109 | 194 | 186 | 188 | 172 – 201 |
| Demos | 30 | 53 | 53 | 51 | 45 – 61 |
| MVPs | 10 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 13 – 21 |
From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 368.2 |
| Avg boost | 51.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 407.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1489.2 |
| % supersonic | 11.8% |
| % time high in air | 2.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2820.9 |
| % time attacking third | 22.1% |
| Demos / game | 1.1 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.6 |
| Shooting % | 34.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Rival | 46 | 1.35 | 0.48 | 1.22 | 398 |
| S26 | Rival | 27 | 1.33 | 0.74 | 1.41 | 368 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.33 | 1.25 | 1.19 – 1.28 |
| Assists/game | 0.74 | 0.69 | 0.62 – 0.75 |
| Saves/game | 1.41 | 1.38 | 1.25 – 1.41 |
| Shots/game | 4.04 | 3.51 | 3.44 – 3.75 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foretrix | S17 | Veteran | 1.42 | 0.75 | 1.42 | 1.02 |
| PG_THE3RD | S24 | Veteran | 1.29 | 0.83 | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| gregy. | S17 | Veteran | 1.17 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| mykopolis | S17 | Veteran | 1.25 | 0.62 | 1.62 | 1.23 |
| Natefrog02 | S17 | Challenger | 1.19 | 0.81 | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| instnt | S23 | Elite | 1.22 | 0.61 | 1.37 | 1.32 |
| JustLaben | S22 | Veteran | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Rev | S20 | Elite | 1.25 | 0.62 | 1.56 | 1.43 |
| Tgunn05 | S20 | Rival | 1.25 | 0.62 | 1.25 | 1.49 |
| NoobZ | S20 | Elite | 1.26 | 0.65 | 1.22 | 1.55 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.