Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 331.87 | 10288 |
|
| Goals | 0.84 | 26 |
|
| Assists | 0.45 | 14 |
|
| Saves | 1.26 | 39 |
|
| Shots | 2.32 | 72 |
|
| Demos | 0.77 | 24 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 331.87 | #567 / 1215 | #74 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.84 | #330 / 1215 | #47 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.45 | #642 / 1215 | #87 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.26 | #510 / 1215 | #66 / 166 |
| Demos | 0.77 | #615 / 1215 | #80 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (31 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (23 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10288 | 17257 | 17298 | 17298 | 17165 – 17431 |
| Goals | 26 | 44 | 43 | 45 | 37 – 50 |
| Assists | 14 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 19 – 29 |
| Saves | 39 | 65 | 66 | 64 | 57 – 74 |
| Shots | 72 | 121 | 122 | 124 | 110 – 133 |
| Demos | 24 | 40 | 41 | 39 | 35 – 48 |
| MVPs | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 – 4 |
From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 350.3 |
| Avg boost | 55.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 459.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1495.3 |
| % supersonic | 7.7% |
| % time high in air | 3.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2758.8 |
| % time attacking third | 22.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 38.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Challenger | 23 | 1.09 | 0.3 | 0.96 | 333 |
| S26 | Challenger | 27 | 0.82 | 0.52 | 1.3 | 350 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.81 | 0.78 | 0.69 – 0.82 |
| Assists/game | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.49 – 0.56 |
| Saves/game | 1.3 | 1.26 | 1.17 – 1.37 |
| Shots/game | 2.19 | 2.32 | 2.15 – 2.42 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GFC-RAIDER | S25 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.56 | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| 2k | S20 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.31 | 1.10 |
| steel.reserve | S22 | Veteran | 0.86 | 0.59 | 1.37 | 1.12 |
| Napkhan | S23 | Challenger | 0.62 | 0.54 | 1.4 | 1.14 |
| JoeExotic | S25 | Rival | 0.68 | 0.55 | 1.12 | 1.14 |
| SWZYY GN | S23 | Challenger | 0.84 | 0.42 | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| Jackowanou | S24 | Elite | 0.82 | 0.55 | 1.37 | 1.18 |
| Nebulade | S25 | Veteran | 0.65 | 0.49 | 1.32 | 1.20 |
| Jay | S20 | Premier | 0.8 | 0.55 | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Mulliganisoup | S25 | Prospect | 0.55 | 0.52 | 1.23 | 1.22 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.