princedre.

Challenger - Chromatic Chaos - 16-15 (0.516)
36 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 31 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 36/100 Tier dominance: 42nd (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
3% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 331.87 10288
44th
Goals 0.84 26
65th
Assists 0.45 14
35th
Saves 1.26 39
50th
Shots 2.32 72
35th
Demos 0.77 24
40th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points331.87 #567 / 1215 #74 / 166
Goals0.84 #330 / 1215 #47 / 166
Assists0.45 #642 / 1215 #87 / 166
Saves1.26 #510 / 1215 #66 / 166
Demos0.77 #615 / 1215 #80 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (31 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (23 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10288 17257 17298 17298 17165 – 17431
Goals 26 44 43 45 37 – 50
Assists 14 23 24 23 19 – 29
Saves 39 65 66 64 57 – 74
Shots 72 121 122 124 110 – 133
Demos 24 40 41 39 35 – 48
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 52 /100

From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 350.3
Avg boost 55.9
Boost stolen / game 459.9
% time at 0 boost 7.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1495.3
% supersonic 7.7%
% time high in air 3.1%
Avg distance to ball 2758.8
% time attacking third 22.8%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 38.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Challenger23 1.090.30.96 333
S26Challenger27 0.820.521.3 350

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.81 0.78 0.69 – 0.82
Assists/game0.52 0.53 0.49 – 0.56
Saves/game1.3 1.26 1.17 – 1.37
Shots/game2.19 2.32 2.15 – 2.42

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
GFC-RAIDER S25Challenger 0.750.561.19 1.09
2k S20Veteran 0.750.381.31 1.10
steel.reserve S22Veteran 0.860.591.37 1.12
Napkhan S23Challenger 0.620.541.4 1.14
JoeExotic S25Rival 0.680.551.12 1.14
SWZYY GN S23Challenger 0.840.421.22 1.15
Jackowanou S24Elite 0.820.551.37 1.18
Nebulade S25Veteran 0.650.491.32 1.20
Jay S20Premier 0.80.551.25 1.22
Mulliganisoup S25Prospect 0.550.521.23 1.22

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.