seandfeeney

Contender - Ponzi Schemers - 15-9 (0.625)
13 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 13/100 Tier dominance: 70th (+0.3 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
12% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 325.04 7801
59th
Goals 0.79 19
63rd
Assists 0.67 16
81st
Saves 1.17 28
54th
Shots 2.42 58
60th
Demos 0.62 15
38th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points325.04 #618 / 1215 #45 / 134
Goals0.79 #410 / 1215 #40 / 134
Assists0.67 #229 / 1215 #18 / 134
Saves1.17 #609 / 1215 #48 / 134
Demos0.62 #733 / 1215 #69 / 134

Season projection

Medium confidence

64% of the season is played (24 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (44 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7801 12027 12001 12001 11902 – 12099
Goals 19 29 29 29 24 – 34
Assists 16 25 24 24 20 – 28
Saves 28 43 43 43 37 – 49
Shots 58 89 89 89 81 – 98
Demos 15 23 24 24 19 – 28
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 7

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 15 /100

From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 302.0
Avg boost 49.8
Boost stolen / game 420.6
% time at 0 boost 9.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1390.4
% supersonic 7.0%
% time high in air 2.0%
Avg distance to ball 3093.1
% time attacking third 22.3%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 30.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Contender44 0.680.411.18 333
S26Contender20 0.750.81.2 302

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.75 0.82 0.71 – 0.86
Assists/game0.8 0.71 0.65 – 0.81
Saves/game1.2 1.1 1.02 – 1.2
Shots/game2.4 2.48 2.42 – 2.65

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Phteven S14Prospect 0.830.831.08 0.89
Alextross S25Prospect 0.930.811.21 1.09
Kush_the_Ninja S13Contender 0.820.641.0 1.11
lone wolf S26Prospect 0.710.931.21 1.14
Gmoney S25Prospect 0.80.741.02 1.16
OvrSizedFrog S23Challenger 0.580.721.03 1.17
Merk890 S24Rival 0.860.761.08 1.22
Dom TuT S19Prospect 0.751.01.25 1.25
ReaperXD97 S24Prospect 0.870.691.23 1.29
Canadian Gamer S22Challenger 0.90.61.2 1.29

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.