Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 325.04 | 7801 |
|
| Goals | 0.79 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.67 | 16 |
|
| Saves | 1.17 | 28 |
|
| Shots | 2.42 | 58 |
|
| Demos | 0.62 | 15 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 325.04 | #618 / 1215 | #45 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.79 | #410 / 1215 | #40 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.67 | #229 / 1215 | #18 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.17 | #609 / 1215 | #48 / 134 |
| Demos | 0.62 | #733 / 1215 | #69 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (24 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (44 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 7801 | 12027 | 12001 | 12001 | 11902 – 12099 |
| Goals | 19 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 24 – 34 |
| Assists | 16 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 20 – 28 |
| Saves | 28 | 43 | 43 | 43 | 37 – 49 |
| Shots | 58 | 89 | 89 | 89 | 81 – 98 |
| Demos | 15 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 19 – 28 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 7 |
From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 302.0 |
| Avg boost | 49.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 420.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 9.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1390.4 |
| % supersonic | 7.0% |
| % time high in air | 2.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3093.1 |
| % time attacking third | 22.3% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.1 |
| Shooting % | 30.8% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Contender | 44 | 0.68 | 0.41 | 1.18 | 333 |
| S26 | Contender | 20 | 0.75 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 302 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.75 | 0.82 | 0.71 – 0.86 |
| Assists/game | 0.8 | 0.71 | 0.65 – 0.81 |
| Saves/game | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.02 – 1.2 |
| Shots/game | 2.4 | 2.48 | 2.42 – 2.65 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phteven | S14 | Prospect | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.08 | 0.89 |
| Alextross | S25 | Prospect | 0.93 | 0.81 | 1.21 | 1.09 |
| Kush_the_Ninja | S13 | Contender | 0.82 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 1.11 |
| lone wolf | S26 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.93 | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Gmoney | S25 | Prospect | 0.8 | 0.74 | 1.02 | 1.16 |
| OvrSizedFrog | S23 | Challenger | 0.58 | 0.72 | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Merk890 | S24 | Rival | 0.86 | 0.76 | 1.08 | 1.22 |
| Dom TuT | S19 | Prospect | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| ReaperXD97 | S24 | Prospect | 0.87 | 0.69 | 1.23 | 1.29 |
| Canadian Gamer | S22 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.29 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.