sheluvtaco

Contender - Kappa - 18-18 (0.500)
15 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 36 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 15/100 Tier dominance: 90th (+1.4 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Anchor / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
14
39% of games
Shot %
39%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 444.89 16016
98th
Goals 1.08 39
89th
Assists 0.53 19
63rd
Saves 1.72 62
95th
Shots 2.75 99
81st
Demos 0.56 20
32nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points444.89 #22 / 1215 #2 / 134
Goals1.08 #101 / 1215 #12 / 134
Assists0.53 #488 / 1215 #41 / 134
Saves1.72 #99 / 1215 #5 / 134
Demos0.56 #778 / 1215 #76 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (36 → ~56 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 16016 24914 24449 24307 – 24591
Goals 39 61 59 52 – 66
Assists 19 30 29 24 – 34
Saves 62 96 94 86 – 103
Shots 99 154 152 141 – 164
Demos 20 31 32 27 – 37
MVPs 14 22 21 17 – 25

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

No ballchasing replay data for this player. Advanced stats (boost, speed, positioning, demos) only exist for the ~37% of players whose matches/scrims were uploaded to ballchasing - coverage depends on who uploads, not on the player.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.