Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 429.68 | 13320 |
|
| Goals | 1.03 | 32 |
|
| Assists | 0.97 | 30 |
|
| Saves | 1.35 | 42 |
|
| Shots | 3.06 | 95 |
|
| Demos | 1.0 | 31 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 429.68 | #43 / 1215 | #4 / 164 |
| Goals | 1.03 | #126 / 1215 | #20 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.97 | #32 / 1215 | #2 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.35 | #416 / 1215 | #65 / 164 |
| Demos | 1.0 | #387 / 1215 | #55 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (31 → ~55 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (185 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 13320 | 23632 | 23197 | 23197 | 23035 – 23359 |
| Goals | 32 | 57 | 55 | 55 | 47 – 63 |
| Assists | 30 | 53 | 51 | 51 | 44 – 59 |
| Saves | 42 | 75 | 74 | 73 | 65 – 84 |
| Shots | 95 | 169 | 166 | 166 | 152 – 179 |
| Demos | 31 | 55 | 55 | 54 | 47 – 63 |
| MVPs | 13 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 17 – 27 |
From 27 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 386.1 |
| Avg boost | 47.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 521.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 11.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1474.9 |
| % supersonic | 11.7% |
| % time high in air | 4.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2778.6 |
| % time attacking third | 21.9% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 32.9% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 26 | 0.77 | 0.46 | 1.42 | 347 |
| S21 | Challenger | 12 | 0.5 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 397 |
| S22 | Challenger | 28 | 1.25 | 0.79 | 1.29 | 374 |
| S23 | Rival | 52 | 0.88 | 0.64 | 0.79 | 396 |
| S24 | Veteran | 18 | 0.28 | 0.56 | 1.11 | 388 |
| S25 | Rival | 49 | 0.84 | 0.51 | 1.14 | 384 |
| S26 | Rival | 27 | 1.0 | 0.93 | 1.3 | 386 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 1.0 | 0.98 | 0.9 – 1.0 |
| Assists/game | 0.93 | 0.83 | 0.76 – 0.88 |
| Saves/game | 1.3 | 1.25 | 1.14 – 1.34 |
| Shots/game | 3.0 | 2.92 | 2.73 – 3.12 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JeiWoo | S25 | Veteran | 1.0 | 0.92 | 1.12 | 0.63 |
| Larkspur | S22 | Contender | 1.04 | 0.86 | 1.24 | 0.72 |
| hams | S14 | Master | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.25 | 0.95 |
| Buck | S24 | Elite | 0.98 | 0.76 | 1.17 | 1.08 |
| Escape_Plan | S17 | Rival | 1.17 | 0.96 | 1.3 | 1.13 |
| Larkspur | S24 | Challenger | 0.93 | 0.78 | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| ryanawesome_ | S17 | Veteran | 1.12 | 0.88 | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Corrupt_Arrow | S25 | Challenger | 0.9 | 0.92 | 1.32 | 1.22 |
| JimJam | S21 | Rival | 1.0 | 0.83 | 1.08 | 1.23 |
| Geherpaderp | S25 | Master | 0.91 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.24 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.