Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 272.8 | 5456 |
|
| Goals | 0.25 | 5 |
|
| Assists | 0.25 | 5 |
|
| Saves | 1.5 | 30 |
|
| Shots | 1.65 | 33 |
|
| Demos | 0.5 | 10 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Elite |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 272.8 | #847 / 1215 | #122 / 179 |
| Goals | 0.25 | #907 / 1215 | #126 / 179 |
| Assists | 0.25 | #878 / 1215 | #126 / 179 |
| Saves | 1.5 | #240 / 1215 | #48 / 179 |
| Demos | 0.5 | #806 / 1215 | #116 / 179 |
56% of the season is played (20 → ~36 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (221 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5456 | 9821 | 10195 | 10195 | 10084 – 10305 |
| Goals | 5 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 7 – 15 |
| Assists | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 7 – 14 |
| Saves | 30 | 54 | 53 | 53 | 46 – 61 |
| Shots | 33 | 59 | 64 | 64 | 55 – 72 |
| Demos | 10 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 15 – 26 |
| MVPs | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 – 2 |
From 16 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 338.0 |
| Avg boost | 45.7 |
| Boost stolen / game | 357.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1401.2 |
| % supersonic | 8.7% |
| % time high in air | 3.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3042.3 |
| % time attacking third | 15.6% |
| Demos / game | 0.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.2 |
| Shooting % | 17.6% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Veteran | 12 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.58 | 345 |
| S22 | Veteran | 51 | 0.86 | 0.59 | 1.37 | 355 |
| S23 | Veteran | 48 | 0.75 | 0.52 | 1.6 | 342 |
| S24 | Veteran | 64 | 1.02 | 0.84 | 1.08 | 339 |
| S25 | Elite | 46 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 1.48 | 353 |
| S26 | Elite | 16 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 1.44 | 338 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.31 | 0.4 | 0.36 – 0.46 |
| Assists/game | 0.25 | 0.3 | 0.25 – 0.35 |
| Saves/game | 1.44 | 1.42 | 1.34 – 1.47 |
| Shots/game | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.5 – 1.85 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carno | S25 | Prospect | 0.44 | 0.18 | 1.46 | 0.98 |
| FallenAngel | S24 | Rival | 0.5 | 0.29 | 1.4 | 1.02 |
| NitemareRL | S25 | Prospect | 0.25 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.08 |
| xLunarWolfx | S24 | Challenger | 0.38 | 0.3 | 1.42 | 1.09 |
| Hanson6351 | S13 | Veteran | 0.38 | 0.25 | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| mogulmaniac5480 | S22 | Rival | 0.38 | 0.38 | 1.25 | 1.16 |
| ADeadM0053 | S21 | Master | 0.38 | 0.25 | 1.62 | 1.18 |
| FattyMcChef04 | S23 | Prospect | 0.37 | 0.26 | 1.22 | 1.19 |
| KrsOneTwoThree1 | S23 | Veteran | 0.5 | 0.25 | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| BRG | S21 | Prospect | 0.36 | 0.27 | 1.82 | 1.24 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.