stuckonthex

Challenger - Hydras - 25-7 (0.781)
43 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 43/100 Tier dominance: 90th (+1.4 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Playmaker / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
10
31% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 398.22 12743
85th
Goals 1.0 32
75th
Assists 0.75 24
84th
Saves 1.38 44
62nd
Shots 3.31 106
97th
Demos 0.41 13
9th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points398.22 #133 / 1213 #20 / 166
Goals1.0 #139 / 1213 #24 / 166
Assists0.75 #119 / 1213 #19 / 166
Saves1.38 #381 / 1213 #48 / 166
Demos0.41 #865 / 1213 #120 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (32 → ~53 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12743 21106 20867 20724 – 21009
Goals 32 53 52 45 – 59
Assists 24 40 39 33 – 45
Saves 44 73 73 64 – 81
Shots 106 176 172 159 – 185
Demos 13 22 24 19 – 29
MVPs 10 17 16 12 – 20

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 64 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 365.9
Avg boost 50.3
Boost stolen / game 504.7
% time at 0 boost 9.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1510.4
% supersonic 10.9%
% time high in air 3.2%
Avg distance to ball 3129.9
% time attacking third 21.8%
Demos / game 0.4
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 31.3%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.0 0.98 0.9 – 1.12
Assists/game0.75 0.75 0.67 – 0.79
Saves/game1.38 1.41 1.34 – 1.5
Shots/game3.31 3.22 3.12 – 3.38

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Destin S23Elite 1.020.731.41 0.86
Geherpaderp S25Master 0.910.71.3 0.96
.S S20Rival 0.930.791.57 0.99
feb S19Rival 0.830.751.58 0.99
P0pfgf S22Veteran 0.90.751.42 0.99
.S S21Veteran 1.120.881.31 1.00
RSC Raven S23Elite 0.910.691.38 1.07
RaunchyRomanian S24Elite 0.890.861.5 1.08
Crabasaur S26Elite 0.810.671.52 1.08
Crabasaur S25Veteran 0.940.761.36 1.08

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.