Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 316.13 | 4742 |
|
| Goals | 0.6 | 9 |
|
| Assists | 0.6 | 9 |
|
| Saves | 1.33 | 20 |
|
| Shots | 2.4 | 36 |
|
| Demos | 1.53 | 23 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 316.13 | #670 / 1215 | #51 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.6 | #692 / 1215 | #74 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.6 | #344 / 1215 | #27 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.33 | #430 / 1215 | #32 / 134 |
| Demos | 1.53 | #122 / 1215 | #9 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (15 → ~23 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (196 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 4742 | 7271 | 7274 | 7274 | 7199 – 7349 |
| Goals | 9 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 – 18 |
| Assists | 9 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 – 17 |
| Saves | 20 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 25 – 35 |
| Shots | 36 | 55 | 55 | 56 | 49 – 61 |
| Demos | 23 | 35 | 33 | 34 | 29 – 38 |
| MVPs | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 – 8 |
From 15 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 371.5 |
| Avg boost | 43.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 433.5 |
| % time at 0 boost | 18.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1412.7 |
| % supersonic | 11.5% |
| % time high in air | 3.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2841.6 |
| % time attacking third | 20.9% |
| Demos / game | 1.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 25.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Contender | 8 | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.38 | 361 |
| S22 | Contender | 49 | 0.9 | 0.71 | 1.2 | 379 |
| S23 | Prospect | 41 | 0.61 | 0.37 | 1.32 | 342 |
| S24 | Prospect | 49 | 0.76 | 0.37 | 1.55 | 388 |
| S25 | Contender | 49 | 0.51 | 0.41 | 1.53 | 357 |
| S26 | Contender | 15 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.33 | 372 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.6 | 0.66 | 0.61 – 0.71 |
| Assists/game | 0.6 | 0.56 | 0.52 – 0.62 |
| Saves/game | 1.33 | 1.41 | 1.26 – 1.46 |
| Shots/game | 2.4 | 2.32 | 2.21 – 2.4 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chung | S18 | Rival | 0.64 | 0.55 | 1.18 | 0.97 |
| Shogun | S25 | Challenger | 0.57 | 0.57 | 1.49 | 1.04 |
| Shepherd | S24 | Master | 0.57 | 0.6 | 1.26 | 1.04 |
| WamBam- | S25 | Challenger | 0.67 | 0.65 | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Rexxay614 | S13 | Rival | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.38 | 1.07 |
| Shepherd | S23 | Elite | 0.74 | 0.6 | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| dyl | S18 | Challenger | 0.67 | 0.56 | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| Agios MaIakas | S26 | Challenger | 0.58 | 0.42 | 1.32 | 1.16 |
| WamBamTYMan- | S24 | Challenger | 0.83 | 0.69 | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| tacosbruh1299 | S24 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.46 | 1.46 | 1.21 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.