tacosbruh1299

Prospect - FA - 2-5 (0.286)
21 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 7 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 21/100 Tier dominance: 32nd (-0.5 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
0
0% of games
Shot %
31%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 245.71 1720
8th
Goals 0.57 4
23rd
Assists 0.29 2
9th
Saves 0.57 4
2nd
Shots 1.86 13
15th
Demos 1.71 12
93rd

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points245.71 #897 / 1213 #123 / 161
Goals0.57 #723 / 1213 #102 / 161
Assists0.29 #847 / 1213 #119 / 161
Saves0.57 #919 / 1213 #131 / 161
Demos1.71 #93 / 1213 #9 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (7 → ~12 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (88 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 1720 2949 3172 3172 3116 – 3229
Goals 4 7 7 8 5 – 10
Assists 2 3 4 4 2 – 6
Saves 4 7 9 9 5 – 12
Shots 13 22 24 23 19 – 28
Demos 12 21 18 20 15 – 22
MVPs 0 0 0 0 0 – 1

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 7 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 378.9
Avg boost 50.1
Boost stolen / game 512.9
% time at 0 boost 13.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1493.9
% supersonic 11.2%
% time high in air 3.2%
Avg distance to ball 2973.8
% time attacking third 23.6%
Demos / game 1.7
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 34.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Prospect52 0.710.461.46 362
S25Prospect36 1.080.691.14 390
S26Prospect7 0.570.290.57 379

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.71 0.71 0.66 – 0.79
Assists/game0.46 0.47 0.44 – 0.52
Saves/game1.46 1.42 1.26 – 1.49
Shots/game2.17 2.33 2.12 – 2.42

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
DonYvan S23Rival 0.750.461.42 0.66
pwapp S25Veteran 0.820.521.52 0.83
Lorak S23Challenger 0.630.521.5 0.85
Hype.56 S24Challenger 0.660.491.46 0.88
dyl S18Challenger 0.670.561.22 0.92
sXCyBeast S26Amateur 0.620.541.54 0.94
BromzaTheOldMan S23Challenger 0.790.471.28 0.94
Shogun S25Challenger 0.570.571.49 0.94
Pure_Pusher S25Challenger 0.510.451.41 0.97
Thats Kaiser S25Rival 0.790.431.26 0.98

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.