tankersrul

Challenger - Stingrays - 10-14 (0.417)
42 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 24 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 42/100 Tier dominance: 80th (+0.8 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Striker / Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
17% of games
Shot %
52%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 425.08 10202
95th
Goals 1.33 32
98th
Assists 0.38 9
17th
Saves 1.54 37
80th
Shots 2.54 61
56th
Demos 0.62 15
28th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points425.08 #54 / 1215 #7 / 166
Goals1.33 #19 / 1215 #2 / 166
Assists0.38 #761 / 1215 #109 / 166
Saves1.54 #216 / 1215 #26 / 166
Demos0.62 #733 / 1215 #95 / 166

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (24 → ~40 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (28 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10202 17003 16668 16668 16542 – 16794
Goals 32 53 51 50 44 – 58
Assists 9 15 16 16 12 – 20
Saves 37 62 61 61 53 – 68
Shots 61 102 101 101 92 – 111
Demos 15 25 26 25 21 – 32
MVPs 4 7 7 7 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 96 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 334.6
Avg boost 48.2
Boost stolen / game 466.2
% time at 0 boost 10.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1469.6
% supersonic 12.1%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 2708.8
% time attacking third 21.3%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 53.5%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S21Challenger8 0.880.620.88 290
S22Challenger20 0.60.551.55 340
S26Challenger24 1.330.381.54 335

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.