Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 299.43 | 6887 |
|
| Goals | 0.57 | 13 |
|
| Assists | 0.52 | 12 |
|
| Saves | 1.17 | 27 |
|
| Shots | 1.7 | 39 |
|
| Demos | 1.39 | 32 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 299.43 | #757 / 1215 | #68 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.57 | #742 / 1215 | #81 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.52 | #498 / 1215 | #44 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.17 | #604 / 1215 | #47 / 134 |
| Demos | 1.39 | #177 / 1215 | #12 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (23 → ~36 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (87 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 6887 | 10780 | 10839 | 10839 | 10743 – 10935 |
| Goals | 13 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 17 – 25 |
| Assists | 12 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 15 – 23 |
| Saves | 27 | 42 | 42 | 43 | 36 – 48 |
| Shots | 39 | 61 | 63 | 63 | 56 – 71 |
| Demos | 32 | 50 | 48 | 49 | 42 – 54 |
| MVPs | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 – 5 |
From 16 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 311.4 |
| Avg boost | 52.4 |
| Boost stolen / game | 490.3 |
| % time at 0 boost | 10.5% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1405.2 |
| % supersonic | 10.2% |
| % time high in air | 3.5% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2999.8 |
| % time attacking third | 19.0% |
| Demos / game | 1.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.9 |
| Shooting % | 26.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S24 | Amateur | 36 | 0.78 | 0.39 | 0.89 | 308 |
| S25 | Contender | 51 | 0.51 | 0.35 | 1.53 | 294 |
| S26 | Contender | 16 | 0.44 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 311 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.44 | 0.48 | 0.41 – 0.57 |
| Assists/game | 0.5 | 0.46 | 0.41 – 0.56 |
| Saves/game | 1.25 | 1.18 | 1.06 – 1.26 |
| Shots/game | 1.44 | 1.62 | 1.5 – 1.73 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.Doughboy | S23 | Challenger | 0.48 | 0.42 | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Whoviancat | S23 | Challenger | 0.43 | 0.43 | 1.0 | 1.23 |
| Rocci | S22 | Amateur | 0.48 | 0.38 | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| AB26panther | S17 | Challenger | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.35 |
| Chicken | S25 | Veteran | 0.5 | 0.56 | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Jay_Kay99 | S20 | Veteran | 0.62 | 0.38 | 1.06 | 1.39 |
| WILLBONG | S24 | Challenger | 0.44 | 0.41 | 1.18 | 1.42 |
| Novarchite | S25 | Challenger | 0.41 | 0.64 | 1.32 | 1.48 |
| Bobby Dangler. | S19 | Prospect | 0.58 | 0.58 | 1.5 | 1.53 |
| Aspect oF Hope | S21 | Premier | 0.25 | 0.62 | 1.25 | 1.54 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.