tiagosan _

Challenger - Lions - 5-8 (0.385)
33 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 13 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 33/100 Tier dominance: 18th (-0.8 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
23% of games
Shot %
22%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 268.85 3495
6th
Goals 0.54 7
17th
Assists 0.08 1
3rd
Saves 1.0 13
13th
Shots 2.46 32
47th
Demos 0.92 12
52nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points268.85 #858 / 1215 #125 / 166
Goals0.54 #773 / 1215 #111 / 166
Assists0.08 #927 / 1215 #129 / 166
Saves1.0 #738 / 1215 #112 / 166
Demos0.92 #492 / 1215 #64 / 166

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (13 → ~22 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (97 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 3495 5915 6163 6163 6084 – 6242
Goals 7 12 13 13 9 – 16
Assists 1 2 3 4 1 – 6
Saves 13 22 23 23 18 – 28
Shots 32 54 54 54 47 – 62
Demos 12 20 20 20 16 – 25
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 7

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 2 /100

From 14 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 377.6
Avg boost 43.2
Boost stolen / game 365.1
% time at 0 boost 13.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1548.9
% supersonic 12.8%
% time high in air 4.2%
Avg distance to ball 3127.2
% time attacking third 20.1%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 1.2
Shooting % 18.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Challenger43 0.790.421.0 373
S25Challenger54 0.780.651.37 379
S26Challenger14 0.50.071.0 378

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.5 0.55 0.5 – 0.71
Assists/game0.07 0.25 0.12 – 0.29
Saves/game1.0 1.07 1.0 – 1.17
Shots/game2.43 2.4 2.17 – 2.58

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Vyvants S17Master 0.670.081.0 1.14
wolverine36535 S23Challenger 0.630.161.21 1.18
Jiggy Watt S13Elite 0.360.00.91 1.23
ObiWan_Can_O_Bee S22Challenger 0.520.131.13 1.25
Tinsel S21Elite 0.460.091.0 1.30
GeneralZippy S25Premier 0.50.251.0 1.30
Ivellios S26Elite 0.520.191.0 1.31
vAirwick S19Challenger 0.440.281.06 1.35
ShiftiiG S14Elite 0.50.250.88 1.35
Nukem_IV S24Rival 0.550.271.18 1.37

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.