waffles

Rival - Centipedes - 15-19 (0.441)
54 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 34 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 54/100 Tier dominance: 66th (+0.4 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
15% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 358.26 12181
63rd
Goals 0.79 27
54th
Assists 0.68 23
76th
Saves 1.09 37
19th
Shots 2.85 97
76th
Demos 0.82 28
34th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points358.26 #357 / 1215 #50 / 164
Goals0.79 #407 / 1215 #62 / 164
Assists0.68 #227 / 1215 #32 / 164
Saves1.09 #698 / 1215 #110 / 164
Demos0.82 #580 / 1215 #89 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (34 → ~60 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12181 21496 21411 21255 – 21568
Goals 27 48 47 40 – 55
Assists 23 41 40 33 – 47
Saves 37 65 67 58 – 75
Shots 97 171 169 156 – 183
Demos 28 49 50 43 – 58
MVPs 5 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 64 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 377.8
Avg boost 50.3
Boost stolen / game 561.0
% time at 0 boost 10.2%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1519.4
% supersonic 13.3%
% time high in air 6.1%
Avg distance to ball 2932.5
% time attacking third 22.6%
Demos / game 0.7
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 29.0%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~61 OVR Medium confidence — inferred from 59 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 54.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)23296-96 50% 380
Non-RSC ranked 3v35926-18 59% 322
Non-RSC other17370-78 47% 400

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.87 0.88 0.83 – 0.91
Assists/game0.71 0.71 0.67 – 0.75
Saves/game1.19 1.17 1.07 – 1.33
Shots/game3.0 2.89 2.76 – 2.97

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
SayNova S21Veteran 0.880.761.12 0.59
Geherpaderp S25Master 0.910.71.3 0.65
scotti S26Elite 1.00.751.14 0.76
Glint S26Rival 0.890.681.18 0.77
Buck S24Elite 0.980.761.17 0.77
Kflip11 S24Challenger 0.810.711.17 0.79
P0pfgf S23Veteran 0.730.751.18 0.80
Chase S23Rival 0.790.681.3 0.82
NotLuke9 S24Veteran 0.910.681.38 0.83
GAVALANCHE S18Master 0.880.751.0 0.84

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.