waynswrld

Contender - FA - 4-4 (0.500)
7 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 8 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 7/100 Tier dominance: 19th (-0.8 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
12% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 250.12 2001
10th
Goals 0.5 4
12th
Assists 0.38 3
23rd
Saves 1.0 8
26th
Shots 1.75 14
12th
Demos 0.5 4
18th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points250.12 #901 / 1215 #100 / 134
Goals0.5 #791 / 1215 #91 / 134
Assists0.38 #761 / 1215 #83 / 134
Saves1.0 #738 / 1215 #68 / 134
Demos0.5 #806 / 1215 #82 / 134

Season projection

Low confidence

64% of the season is played (8 → ~12 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (19 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 2001 3002 3135 3135 3087 – 3184
Goals 4 6 6 5 4 – 9
Assists 3 4 5 5 3 – 7
Saves 8 12 12 13 9 – 15
Shots 14 21 22 20 18 – 26
Demos 4 6 7 7 4 – 9
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 8 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 311.1
Avg boost 47.1
Boost stolen / game 339.9
% time at 0 boost 10.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1470.6
% supersonic 9.1%
% time high in air 3.9%
Avg distance to ball 3124.6
% time attacking third 18.1%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 31.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Prospect19 0.210.421.37 330
S26Contender8 0.50.381.0 311

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.5 0.59 0.5 – 0.62
Assists/game0.38 0.38 0.35 – 0.46
Saves/game1.0 1.04 0.98 – 1.09
Shots/game1.75 1.92 1.75 – 2.0

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
YourBadKittyCat S21Contender 0.620.41.13 0.82
iargue S26Prospect 0.470.440.88 0.91
perk_at_play S14Prospect 0.50.251.12 0.91
Novarchite S20Prospect 0.590.351.02 0.92
S0UL09 S24Challenger 0.50.380.75 0.93
FattyMcChef04 S25Contender 0.430.41.09 0.94
rinny_b0y S22Contender 0.60.221.05 0.96
YERP_YERP02 S21Contender 0.50.50.93 0.99
iProfessorEx S19Veteran 0.670.330.78 1.03
D1REW00F S18Amateur 0.50.380.82 1.03

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.