xMoistCanadianx

Challenger - Ryujin - 8-17 (0.320)
31 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 25 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 31/100 Tier dominance: 6th (-1.3 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
12% of games
Shot %
31%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 338.72 8468
50th
Goals 0.64 16
33rd
Assists 0.44 11
32nd
Saves 1.8 45
92nd
Shots 2.08 52
16th
Demos 0.48 12
14th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points338.72 #513 / 1215 #66 / 166
Goals0.64 #639 / 1215 #89 / 166
Assists0.44 #663 / 1215 #90 / 166
Saves1.8 #69 / 1215 #10 / 166
Demos0.48 #838 / 1215 #115 / 166

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (25 → ~42 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 8468 14226 14237 14117 – 14357
Goals 16 27 27 22 – 33
Assists 11 18 19 14 – 23
Saves 45 76 74 65 – 82
Shots 52 87 89 79 – 99
Demos 12 20 22 17 – 27
MVPs 3 5 5 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 18 /100

From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 328.0
Avg boost 47.6
Boost stolen / game 305.1
% time at 0 boost 9.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1475.4
% supersonic 13.8%
% time high in air 3.4%
Avg distance to ball 3425.3
% time attacking third 15.6%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 0.6
Shooting % 28.8%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.71 0.67 0.6 – 0.75
Assists/game0.33 0.34 0.28 – 0.39
Saves/game1.76 1.6 1.55 – 1.75
Shots/game2.19 2.22 2.08 – 2.33

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
DJstriker211 S23Elite 0.750.251.75 0.93
prestondew00 S14Contender 0.50.331.58 1.14
Ice Phoenix S24Veteran 0.760.341.66 1.28
Bushier Brow S24Veteran 0.630.391.59 1.28
SRSExKAOS S25Rival 0.670.271.47 1.37
SGE Nemesis S25Elite 0.620.331.75 1.39
Chronicle S24Challenger 0.480.371.78 1.44
Ghostie S20Rival 0.60.21.73 1.47
Novarchite S17Prospect 0.670.221.44 1.54
Tankersrul S19Prospect 0.780.331.56 1.54

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.