Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 302.03 | 9665 |
|
| Goals | 0.5 | 16 |
|
| Assists | 0.59 | 19 |
|
| Saves | 1.12 | 36 |
|
| Shots | 2.06 | 66 |
|
| Demos | 1.19 | 38 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Contender |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 302.03 | #744 / 1215 | #65 / 134 |
| Goals | 0.5 | #791 / 1215 | #91 / 134 |
| Assists | 0.59 | #366 / 1215 | #29 / 134 |
| Saves | 1.12 | #656 / 1215 | #58 / 134 |
| Demos | 1.19 | #269 / 1215 | #17 / 134 |
64% of the season is played (32 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (165 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 9665 | 15102 | 15156 | 15156 | 15041 – 15270 |
| Goals | 16 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 21 – 31 |
| Assists | 19 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 24 – 34 |
| Saves | 36 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 49 – 63 |
| Shots | 66 | 103 | 104 | 102 | 95 – 114 |
| Demos | 38 | 59 | 58 | 58 | 51 – 65 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 – 7 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 324.5 |
| Avg boost | 52.8 |
| Boost stolen / game | 373.7 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.9% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1424.6 |
| % supersonic | 7.5% |
| % time high in air | 3.0% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3145.9 |
| % time attacking third | 18.9% |
| Demos / game | 1.2 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.6 |
| Shooting % | 32.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Prospect | 53 | 0.49 | 0.47 | 0.85 | 281 |
| S21 | Contender | 11 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 1.0 | 285 |
| S22 | Contender | 17 | 0.53 | 0.12 | 0.88 | 302 |
| S23 | Prospect | 21 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 1.43 | 284 |
| S24 | Challenger | 21 | 0.29 | 0.19 | 0.86 | 309 |
| S25 | Contender | 42 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.02 | 317 |
| S26 | Contender | 32 | 0.78 | 0.56 | 1.12 | 324 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.78 | 0.76 | 0.71 – 0.8 |
| Assists/game | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.48 – 0.6 |
| Saves/game | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.09 – 1.26 |
| Shots/game | 2.41 | 2.42 | 2.21 – 2.5 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicken | S22 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.58 | 1.0 | 0.76 |
| Shraggaholic | S22 | Contender | 0.74 | 0.53 | 1.13 | 0.83 |
| Gmoney | S24 | Prospect | 0.76 | 0.57 | 1.02 | 0.89 |
| Hawkish | S20 | Veteran | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.90 |
| lXploitl | S18 | Prospect | 0.75 | 0.58 | 1.25 | 0.91 |
| levophed | S23 | Prospect | 0.71 | 0.53 | 1.06 | 0.91 |
| kgfan3 | S24 | Prospect | 0.84 | 0.52 | 1.16 | 0.96 |
| Chicken | S20 | Rival | 0.68 | 0.39 | 1.18 | 0.96 |
| Scomps | S25 | Challenger | 0.69 | 0.57 | 1.09 | 0.96 |
| i like bananas | S24 | Veteran | 0.83 | 0.65 | 1.26 | 0.97 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.