xPotatodactylx

Prospect - Hawaiian Pizza - 8-9 (0.471)
25 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 17 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 25/100 Tier dominance: 63rd (+0.2 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor / Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
18% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 401.18 6820
87th
Goals 0.94 16
80th
Assists 0.47 8
38th
Saves 1.71 29
93rd
Shots 2.65 45
66th
Demos 1.06 18
66th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points401.18 #127 / 1213 #17 / 161
Goals0.94 #218 / 1213 #27 / 161
Assists0.47 #598 / 1213 #82 / 161
Saves1.71 #116 / 1213 #9 / 161
Demos1.06 #358 / 1213 #45 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (17 → ~28 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (128 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 6820 11233 10981 10981 10882 – 11080
Goals 16 26 26 25 21 – 30
Assists 8 13 13 14 10 – 17
Saves 29 48 46 46 40 – 52
Shots 45 74 73 73 65 – 81
Demos 18 30 29 28 24 – 34
MVPs 3 5 5 5 3 – 7

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 82 /100

From 17 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 378.5
Avg boost 48.6
Boost stolen / game 445.6
% time at 0 boost 11.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1547.3
% supersonic 14.2%
% time high in air 3.0%
Avg distance to ball 3330.6
% time attacking third 18.5%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 0.6
Shooting % 36.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S22Prospect3 1.01.01.0 317
S23Challenger33 0.640.70.88 329
S24Challenger50 0.560.441.5 330
S25Prospect45 0.840.711.53 381
S26Prospect17 0.940.471.71 379

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.94 0.86 0.83 – 0.91
Assists/game0.47 0.49 0.45 – 0.5
Saves/game1.71 1.58 1.53 – 1.7
Shots/game2.65 2.67 2.5 – 2.78

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
voakes S22Rival 1.00.51.69 0.72
Calster S26Master 0.860.571.64 0.72
spite S25Challenger 0.850.491.58 0.79
Mystik.19 S23Challenger 0.840.441.52 0.83
Jhammy. S24Veteran 0.820.471.7 0.86
SniperWarrior007 S18Challenger 0.880.51.62 0.94
Stingray S24Elite 0.860.521.88 0.99
AcX S21Master 0.930.51.9 1.00
DJDancingDuckGIF S26Master 1.00.461.75 1.02
Rock_Sause S25Elite 0.770.451.67 1.02

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.