Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 309.61 | 11146 |
|
| Goals | 0.72 | 26 |
|
| Assists | 0.56 | 20 |
|
| Saves | 0.92 | 33 |
|
| Shots | 2.03 | 73 |
|
| Demos | 1.31 | 47 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Amateur |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 309.61 | #704 / 1215 | #19 / 61 |
| Goals | 0.72 | #521 / 1215 | #25 / 61 |
| Assists | 0.56 | #434 / 1215 | #14 / 61 |
| Saves | 0.92 | #831 / 1215 | #21 / 61 |
| Demos | 1.31 | #221 / 1215 | #4 / 61 |
69% of the season is played (36 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (172 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11146 | 16100 | 16062 | 16062 | 15957 – 16167 |
| Goals | 26 | 38 | 38 | 37 | 33 – 43 |
| Assists | 20 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 24 – 33 |
| Saves | 33 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 42 – 53 |
| Shots | 73 | 105 | 106 | 103 | 97 – 114 |
| Demos | 47 | 68 | 66 | 65 | 60 – 73 |
| MVPs | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 – 11 |
From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 320.0 |
| Avg boost | 55.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 446.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.4% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1427.3 |
| % supersonic | 10.3% |
| % time high in air | 2.6% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3313.0 |
| % time attacking third | 20.8% |
| Demos / game | 1.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 36.3% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Amateur | 4 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 188 |
| S21 | Amateur | 4 | 0.0 | 0.75 | 0.5 | 213 |
| S22 | Amateur | 49 | 0.78 | 0.45 | 0.9 | 253 |
| S23 | Amateur | 42 | 0.48 | 0.21 | 0.88 | 305 |
| S24 | Amateur | 51 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.88 | 271 |
| S25 | Amateur | 30 | 0.47 | 0.37 | 1.0 | 298 |
| S26 | Amateur | 32 | 0.75 | 0.59 | 0.97 | 320 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.75 | 0.7 | 0.66 – 0.76 |
| Assists/game | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.48 – 0.64 |
| Saves/game | 0.97 | 1.0 | 0.89 – 1.18 |
| Shots/game | 2.09 | 2.11 | 2.07 – 2.22 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hoyci | S17 | Veteran | 0.75 | 0.44 | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| DinninDu | S25 | Rival | 0.67 | 0.44 | 1.11 | 1.12 |
| Chis | S17 | Veteran | 0.78 | 0.67 | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| DinninDu | S21 | Rival | 0.64 | 0.64 | 1.0 | 1.15 |
| Casca . | S24 | Prospect | 0.82 | 0.5 | 1.11 | 1.16 |
| Monteca | S25 | Contender | 0.77 | 0.43 | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| SludgeMixFuzz | S23 | Prospect | 0.75 | 0.43 | 0.95 | 1.18 |
| wolverine36535 | S24 | Challenger | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.9 | 1.18 |
| tempo_rl_ttv | S24 | Amateur | 0.78 | 0.39 | 0.89 | 1.19 |
| Shea Butter | S26 | Challenger | 0.79 | 0.53 | 1.16 | 1.19 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.