Alextross

Prospect - Hawaiian Pizza - 4-11 (0.267)
18 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 15 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 18/100 Tier dominance: 15th (-1.1 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
0
0% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 307.73 4616
34th
Goals 0.8 12
56th
Assists 0.33 5
11th
Saves 1.13 17
41st
Shots 2.2 33
35th
Demos 0.33 5
4th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points307.73 #714 / 1215 #88 / 161
Goals0.8 #391 / 1215 #56 / 161
Assists0.33 #813 / 1215 #115 / 161
Saves1.13 #647 / 1215 #79 / 161
Demos0.33 #901 / 1215 #128 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (15 → ~25 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (140 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 4616 7693 7773 7773 7687 – 7859
Goals 12 20 20 20 15 – 24
Assists 5 8 9 9 6 – 12
Saves 17 28 29 28 23 – 34
Shots 33 55 56 55 48 – 63
Demos 5 8 10 10 7 – 14
MVPs 0 0 1 1 0 – 2

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 6 /100

From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 295.8
Avg boost 55.8
Boost stolen / game 470.9
% time at 0 boost 5.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1402.5
% supersonic 6.4%
% time high in air 1.8%
Avg distance to ball 3190.7
% time attacking third 18.0%
Demos / game 0.3
Demos taken / game 1.8
Shooting % 31.7%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Prospect49 0.860.651.12 311
S21Prospect9 0.560.670.56 314
S22Challenger7 0.570.431.29 298
S23Challenger40 0.450.251.12 309
S24Challenger1 1.00.04.0 278
S25Prospect42 0.930.811.21 307
S26Prospect12 0.670.421.08 296

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~37 OVR High confidence — inferred from 802 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 18.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)81963498-3246 52% 336
RSC (official)4522-16 58% 327
Non-RSC ranked 3v3802306-329 48% 285
Non-RSC other73493170-2901 52% 342

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.67 0.67 0.62 – 0.76
Assists/game0.42 0.4 0.35 – 0.46
Saves/game1.08 1.06 1.0 – 1.18
Shots/game2.08 2.09 2.0 – 2.2

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
xPrism S23Rival 0.620.471.06 0.71
Hawkish S24Elite 0.760.41.24 0.78
Fox_gt_400 S24Challenger 0.70.391.18 0.85
B1scuit_Murder S20Prospect 0.750.321.09 0.86
Yerrp- S17Contender 0.80.41.3 0.86
Citrus Stoned S20Challenger 0.750.331.17 0.90
IamDMachinee S13Amateur 0.790.450.9 0.92
xPrism S26Rival 0.650.471.12 0.93
darkangels_152 S18Amateur 0.670.371.3 0.96
tysonmaint S25Contender 0.620.351.27 0.97

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.