Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 303.32 | 5763 |
|
| Goals | 0.58 | 11 |
|
| Assists | 0.47 | 9 |
|
| Saves | 1.26 | 24 |
|
| Shots | 2.37 | 45 |
|
| Demos | 0.42 | 8 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 303.32 | #733 / 1215 | #107 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.58 | #727 / 1215 | #102 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.47 | #599 / 1215 | #85 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.26 | #506 / 1215 | #84 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.42 | #871 / 1215 | #126 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (19 → ~34 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (96 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 5763 | 10313 | 10481 | 10481 | 10371 – 10591 |
| Goals | 11 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 15 – 25 |
| Assists | 9 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 12 – 21 |
| Saves | 24 | 43 | 43 | 42 | 36 – 50 |
| Shots | 45 | 81 | 81 | 79 | 71 – 91 |
| Demos | 8 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 12 – 22 |
| MVPs | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 – 6 |
From 17 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 296.4 |
| Avg boost | 48.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 361.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 6.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1422.3 |
| % supersonic | 8.2% |
| % time high in air | 4.3% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3101.9 |
| % time attacking third | 17.3% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.8 |
| Shooting % | 24.9% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S22 | Rival | 15 | 0.47 | 0.93 | 1.0 | 308 |
| S23 | Rival | 32 | 0.62 | 0.47 | 1.06 | 307 |
| S24 | Rival | 49 | 0.57 | 0.67 | 1.2 | 312 |
| S26 | Rival | 17 | 0.65 | 0.47 | 1.12 | 296 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.65 | 0.67 | 0.61 – 0.76 |
| Assists/game | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.41 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.12 | 1.19 | 1.02 – 1.24 |
| Shots/game | 2.41 | 2.21 | 2.13 – 2.36 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Booger Sugar | S20 | Prospect | 0.63 | 0.53 | 1.0 | 0.74 |
| Alextross | S26 | Prospect | 0.67 | 0.42 | 1.08 | 0.93 |
| LustLizard | S24 | Challenger | 0.71 | 0.4 | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| VickyViksta | S23 | Challenger | 0.64 | 0.61 | 1.24 | 0.95 |
| BeardedFrodo1 | S24 | Amateur | 0.79 | 0.41 | 0.95 | 0.96 |
| dino_chick3n | S24 | Challenger | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.19 | 0.97 |
| Novarchite | S20 | Prospect | 0.59 | 0.35 | 1.02 | 0.98 |
| Dunnie14 | S13 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 0.98 |
| Hawkish | S24 | Elite | 0.76 | 0.4 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| Droogin01 | S22 | Contender | 0.55 | 0.59 | 1.27 | 1.03 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.