xPrism

Rival - Barracudas - 4-15 (0.211)
45 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 19 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 45/100 Tier dominance: 9th (-1.3 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
10% of games
Shot %
24%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 303.32 5763
21st
Goals 0.58 11
24th
Assists 0.47 9
37th
Saves 1.26 24
38th
Shots 2.37 45
36th
Demos 0.42 8
7th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points303.32 #733 / 1215 #107 / 164
Goals0.58 #727 / 1215 #102 / 164
Assists0.47 #599 / 1215 #85 / 164
Saves1.26 #506 / 1215 #84 / 164
Demos0.42 #871 / 1215 #126 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (19 → ~34 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (96 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 5763 10313 10481 10481 10371 – 10591
Goals 11 20 20 20 15 – 25
Assists 9 16 16 17 12 – 21
Saves 24 43 43 42 36 – 50
Shots 45 81 81 79 71 – 91
Demos 8 14 17 14 12 – 22
MVPs 2 4 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 2 /100

From 17 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 296.4
Avg boost 48.9
Boost stolen / game 361.9
% time at 0 boost 6.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1422.3
% supersonic 8.2%
% time high in air 4.3%
Avg distance to ball 3101.9
% time attacking third 17.3%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.8
Shooting % 24.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S22Rival15 0.470.931.0 308
S23Rival32 0.620.471.06 307
S24Rival49 0.570.671.2 312
S26Rival17 0.650.471.12 296

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.65 0.67 0.61 – 0.76
Assists/game0.47 0.47 0.41 – 0.5
Saves/game1.12 1.19 1.02 – 1.24
Shots/game2.41 2.21 2.13 – 2.36

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
El Booger Sugar S20Prospect 0.630.531.0 0.74
Alextross S26Prospect 0.670.421.08 0.93
LustLizard S24Challenger 0.710.41.19 0.94
VickyViksta S23Challenger 0.640.611.24 0.95
BeardedFrodo1 S24Amateur 0.790.410.95 0.96
dino_chick3n S24Challenger 0.670.331.19 0.97
Novarchite S20Prospect 0.590.351.02 0.98
Dunnie14 S13Rival 0.750.51.25 0.98
Hawkish S24Elite 0.760.41.24 1.00
Droogin01 S22Contender 0.550.591.27 1.03

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.