Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 386.68 | 10827 |
|
| Goals | 0.82 | 23 |
|
| Assists | 0.64 | 18 |
|
| Saves | 1.61 | 45 |
|
| Shots | 2.64 | 74 |
|
| Demos | 1.61 | 45 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 386.68 | #177 / 1215 | #24 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.82 | #367 / 1215 | #51 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.64 | #279 / 1215 | #34 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.61 | #169 / 1215 | #21 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.61 | #108 / 1215 | #13 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (147 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10827 | 18174 | 17982 | 17982 | 17848 – 18116 |
| Goals | 23 | 39 | 38 | 38 | 32 – 45 |
| Assists | 18 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 24 – 35 |
| Saves | 45 | 76 | 74 | 73 | 66 – 83 |
| Shots | 74 | 124 | 124 | 124 | 112 – 135 |
| Demos | 45 | 76 | 73 | 74 | 65 – 81 |
| MVPs | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 5 – 11 |
From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 435.5 |
| Avg boost | 51.0 |
| Boost stolen / game | 558.4 |
| % time at 0 boost | 15.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1614.0 |
| % supersonic | 17.7% |
| % time high in air | 4.8% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3001.1 |
| % time attacking third | 22.6% |
| Demos / game | 1.6 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 32.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 4 | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 444 |
| S21 | Challenger | 4 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 428 |
| S22 | Challenger | 14 | 0.93 | 0.5 | 1.36 | 415 |
| S23 | Rival | 22 | 0.68 | 0.5 | 1.04 | 429 |
| S24 | Rival | 51 | 0.63 | 0.39 | 1.08 | 414 |
| S25 | Challenger | 60 | 0.95 | 0.53 | 1.17 | 453 |
| S26 | Challenger | 28 | 0.82 | 0.64 | 1.61 | 435 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.82 | 0.81 | 0.75 – 0.86 |
| Assists/game | 0.64 | 0.6 | 0.57 – 0.67 |
| Saves/game | 1.61 | 1.5 | 1.44 – 1.58 |
| Shots/game | 2.64 | 2.72 | 2.54 – 2.85 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monty. | S18 | Veteran | 0.73 | 0.6 | 1.67 | 0.82 |
| Ikigai | S24 | Veteran | 0.76 | 0.74 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| grip reaper | S24 | Master | 0.67 | 0.59 | 1.61 | 1.00 |
| DarkOnDisplayRW7 | S26 | Rival | 0.81 | 0.59 | 1.69 | 1.01 |
| BIGbadBULLMAN13 | S22 | Veteran | 0.76 | 0.58 | 1.44 | 1.03 |
| yillow | S24 | Master | 0.8 | 0.52 | 1.62 | 1.03 |
| carszin | S24 | Veteran | 0.69 | 0.56 | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| GAVALANCHE | S22 | Premier | 0.83 | 0.6 | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| afterburner3375 | S21 | Master | 0.86 | 0.66 | 1.68 | 1.07 |
| RobFromCSA | S24 | Master | 0.94 | 0.67 | 1.6 | 1.10 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.