AngryPenguin0811

Elite - Black-Holes - 15-7 (0.682)
79 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 22 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 79/100 Tier dominance: 44th (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Elite Role: Playmaker / Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
9% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Elite)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 385.82 8488
74th
Goals 0.64 14
26th
Assists 0.82 18
89th
Saves 1.68 37
78th
Shots 2.32 51
28th
Demos 1.5 33
81st

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Elite
Points385.82 #184 / 1215 #34 / 179
Goals0.64 #644 / 1215 #95 / 179
Assists0.82 #78 / 1215 #14 / 179
Saves1.68 #124 / 1215 #28 / 179
Demos1.5 #129 / 1215 #21 / 179

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (22 → ~39 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 8488 15047 14905 14777 – 15034
Goals 14 25 25 20 – 31
Assists 18 32 31 25 – 37
Saves 37 66 64 56 – 73
Shots 51 90 92 81 – 102
Demos 33 58 57 49 – 64
MVPs 2 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 76 /100

From 18 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 372.3
Avg boost 47.6
Boost stolen / game 425.9
% time at 0 boost 11.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1487.5
% supersonic 13.1%
% time high in air 4.3%
Avg distance to ball 2675.5
% time attacking third 20.1%
Demos / game 1.4
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 32.7%

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.78 0.73 0.65 – 0.81
Assists/game0.61 0.6 0.55 – 0.62
Saves/game1.72 1.61 1.56 – 1.72
Shots/game2.28 2.29 2.2 – 2.42

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
trock S23Veteran 0.670.621.65 0.64
trock S24Veteran 0.730.521.6 0.81
jknop2 S22Veteran 0.650.681.72 0.85
johkev S24Challenger 0.850.621.47 0.89
Ghostie S26Rival 0.690.551.55 0.91
Phelpsy S23Elite 0.620.561.6 0.98
Packers S23Master 0.80.61.64 1.02
Whiffy_RL S23Challenger 0.690.511.49 1.06
Meatrius S13Veteran 0.830.51.75 1.07
Super S23Master 0.710.531.58 1.08

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.