Ghostie

Rival - Demo Chasers - 15-14 (0.517)
👤 Career - also played as ghostie
51 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 29 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 51/100 Tier dominance: 47th (-0.1 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
5
17% of games
Shot %
27%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 343.69 9967
47th
Goals 0.69 20
41st
Assists 0.55 16
51st
Saves 1.55 45
77th
Shots 2.59 75
52nd
Demos 1.52 44
87th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points343.69 #469 / 1215 #72 / 164
Goals0.69 #577 / 1215 #79 / 164
Assists0.55 #445 / 1215 #65 / 164
Saves1.55 #211 / 1215 #31 / 164
Demos1.52 #128 / 1215 #17 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (29 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (145 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 9967 17872 17859 17859 17714 – 18004
Goals 20 36 36 36 30 – 43
Assists 16 29 29 28 23 – 34
Saves 45 81 80 81 70 – 89
Shots 75 134 134 135 121 – 147
Demos 44 79 77 76 67 – 86
MVPs 5 9 9 9 6 – 12

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 57 /100

From 29 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 378.2
Avg boost 52.3
Boost stolen / game 433.7
% time at 0 boost 8.6%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1507.0
% supersonic 12.3%
% time high in air 5.4%
Avg distance to ball 2927.1
% time attacking third 20.1%
Demos / game 1.5
Demos taken / game 0.7
Shooting % 29.7%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Rival15 0.60.21.73 360
S21Rival12 0.420.421.08 379
S22Rival20 0.950.41.3 392
S23Rival51 0.840.591.43 361
S24Veteran4 1.00.750.75 362
S25Rival47 0.680.531.83 359
S26Rival29 0.690.551.55 378

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~71 OVR Medium confidence — inferred from 54 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 51.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)1215404-541 43% 350
RSC (official)144-7 36% 349
Non-RSC ranked 3v35417-23 42% 339
Non-RSC other1147383-511 43% 350

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.69 0.73 0.62 – 0.82
Assists/game0.55 0.53 0.48 – 0.62
Saves/game1.55 1.54 1.45 – 1.6
Shots/game2.59 2.4 2.33 – 2.59

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Phelpsy S23Elite 0.620.561.6 0.80
trock S24Veteran 0.730.521.6 0.91
AngryPenguin0811 S26Elite 0.780.611.72 0.91
johkev S24Challenger 0.850.621.47 0.92
Crucified S25Rival 0.810.611.45 0.94
Whiffy_RL S23Challenger 0.690.511.49 0.96
trock S23Veteran 0.670.621.65 0.97
ChefHoffy S26Rival 0.720.661.5 1.00
Defiance S20Veteran 0.570.431.43 1.00
Rexxay614 S13Rival 0.620.621.38 1.04

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.