Auty RL

Rival - Threshers - 16-20 (0.444)
48 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 36 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 48/100 Tier dominance: 23rd (-0.8 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
11% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 338.31 12179
40th
Goals 0.81 29
56th
Assists 0.44 16
30th
Saves 1.36 49
53rd
Shots 2.44 88
44th
Demos 0.5 18
8th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points338.31 #515 / 1215 #81 / 164
Goals0.81 #387 / 1215 #58 / 164
Assists0.44 #648 / 1215 #95 / 164
Saves1.36 #403 / 1215 #62 / 164
Demos0.5 #806 / 1215 #120 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (36 → ~64 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (141 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 12179 21652 21666 21666 21507 – 21826
Goals 29 52 51 51 43 – 59
Assists 16 28 29 29 23 – 35
Saves 49 87 87 85 77 – 97
Shots 88 156 157 155 143 – 170
Demos 18 32 35 33 28 – 41
MVPs 4 7 7 7 4 – 10

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 22 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 308.4
Avg boost 51.2
Boost stolen / game 439.2
% time at 0 boost 6.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1439.6
% supersonic 7.7%
% time high in air 3.9%
Avg distance to ball 2960.0
% time attacking third 18.4%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 29.9%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Challenger41 0.710.581.07 300
S24Challenger48 0.830.40.98 301
S25Challenger52 0.770.61.08 310
S26Challenger32 0.690.51.47 308

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.69 0.7 0.61 – 0.75
Assists/game0.5 0.48 0.46 – 0.5
Saves/game1.47 1.4 1.33 – 1.5
Shots/game2.34 2.29 2.22 – 2.38

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Ole.Mr.Bison. S25Prospect 0.620.51.5 0.60
Dunnie14 S13Rival 0.750.51.25 0.77
TunedUpTuck S25Challenger 0.620.521.38 0.77
Wicked Wilt S14Rival 0.730.531.4 0.78
MoonKnight2 S25Contender 0.550.491.34 0.79
Merk890 S25Rival 0.650.571.4 0.79
th3lofty S21Amateur 0.60.41.53 0.83
Obay JackTTV S14Contender 0.690.381.56 0.86
jizko S26Challenger 0.50.541.42 0.88
Korrello S23Prospect 0.820.481.46 0.88

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.

Note: this name has 2 entries (e.g. a substitute in another tier); showing the most-played one.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.