jizko

Challenger - Toucans - 14-12 (0.538)
30 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 26 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 30/100 Tier dominance: 3rd (-1.4 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
8% of games
Shot %
23%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 317.92 8266
32nd
Goals 0.5 13
13th
Assists 0.58 15
59th
Saves 1.38 36
65th
Shots 2.19 57
26th
Demos 0.54 14
19th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points317.92 #662 / 1215 #90 / 166
Goals0.5 #791 / 1215 #115 / 166
Assists0.58 #395 / 1215 #55 / 166
Saves1.38 #376 / 1215 #46 / 166
Demos0.54 #785 / 1215 #107 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (26 → ~43 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (67 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8266 13671 13764 13764 13648 – 13881
Goals 13 22 23 24 18 – 27
Assists 15 25 25 25 20 – 30
Saves 36 60 59 58 52 – 67
Shots 57 94 95 98 86 – 105
Demos 14 23 25 24 20 – 30
MVPs 2 3 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 9 /100

From 24 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 308.5
Avg boost 51.1
Boost stolen / game 337.9
% time at 0 boost 5.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1452.9
% supersonic 8.7%
% time high in air 4.1%
Avg distance to ball 2878.3
% time attacking third 17.7%
Demos / game 0.5
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 23.3%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Challenger15 0.930.41.33 342
S25Challenger52 0.940.690.96 344
S26Challenger24 0.50.541.42 308

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.5 0.57 0.5 – 0.61
Assists/game0.54 0.52 0.49 – 0.58
Saves/game1.42 1.38 1.3 – 1.5
Shots/game2.21 2.14 2.08 – 2.29

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
ShelbyCyan S23Rival 0.560.481.33 0.76
Speciial_Eddy S22Challenger 0.450.551.4 0.85
Auty RL S26Challenger 0.690.51.47 0.88
Rob S23Prospect 0.430.481.48 0.91
MoonKnight2 S25Contender 0.550.491.34 0.93
Droogin01 S22Contender 0.550.591.27 0.94
Ole.Mr.Bison. S25Prospect 0.620.51.5 0.98
xPrism S24Rival 0.570.671.2 1.01
TunedUpTuck S25Challenger 0.620.521.38 1.04
El_Macho S25Prospect 0.50.61.6 1.08

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.