BAND1TO.

Prospect - Diamondback - 8-7 (0.533)
21 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 15 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 21/100 Tier dominance: 34th (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
13% of games
Shot %
32%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 275.73 4136
17th
Goals 0.73 11
47th
Assists 0.33 5
11th
Saves 0.67 10
3rd
Shots 2.27 34
41st
Demos 1.53 23
92nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points275.73 #840 / 1215 #111 / 161
Goals0.73 #509 / 1215 #69 / 161
Assists0.33 #813 / 1215 #115 / 161
Saves0.67 #913 / 1215 #128 / 161
Demos1.53 #122 / 1215 #10 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (15 → ~25 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (52 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 4136 6893 7084 7084 7001 – 7168
Goals 11 18 18 20 14 – 22
Assists 5 8 9 10 6 – 12
Saves 10 17 19 17 14 – 23
Shots 34 57 57 59 50 – 64
Demos 23 38 36 34 31 – 42
MVPs 2 3 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 21 /100

From 11 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 402.3
Avg boost 47.2
Boost stolen / game 286.5
% time at 0 boost 14.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1487.2
% supersonic 11.1%
% time high in air 2.8%
Avg distance to ball 3081.9
% time attacking third 20.0%
Demos / game 1.5
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 35.5%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Contender52 1.020.690.77 387
S26Prospect11 0.730.270.82 402

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.73 0.71 0.67 – 0.86
Assists/game0.27 0.34 0.3 – 0.4
Saves/game0.82 1.0 0.94 – 1.09
Shots/game2.0 2.1 2.0 – 2.17

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
xEaglex20X S26Prospect 0.690.310.81 1.00
DaddyBobGaming S26Contender 0.70.371.0 1.04
BUD-LITE4U S13Contender 0.70.30.7 1.11
Moist_Games S26Prospect 0.570.390.86 1.32
HuggingThor S21Contender 0.90.371.1 1.34
Mulliganisoup S20Contender 0.910.361.09 1.35
Rcmblocks S19Prospect 0.750.330.83 1.37
ONLYSLIM2198 S18Amateur 0.670.290.46 1.44
Dizzy S19Master 0.50.20.7 1.45
Jay_Kay99 S19Veteran 0.670.221.11 1.45

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.