Moist_Games

Prospect - Card Dealers - 11-20 (0.355)
19 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 31 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 19/100 Tier dominance: 20th (-1.0 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
4
13% of games
Shot %
28%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 294.65 9134
24th
Goals 0.55 17
20th
Assists 0.35 11
16th
Saves 0.97 30
20th
Shots 1.97 61
19th
Demos 1.1 34
71st

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points294.65 #780 / 1215 #101 / 161
Goals0.55 #762 / 1215 #107 / 161
Assists0.35 #797 / 1215 #112 / 161
Saves0.97 #804 / 1215 #106 / 161
Demos1.1 #330 / 1215 #38 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (31 → ~52 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (53 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 9134 15322 15476 15476 15350 – 15603
Goals 17 29 29 29 24 – 35
Assists 11 18 19 20 15 – 24
Saves 30 50 51 52 44 – 59
Shots 61 102 104 105 94 – 115
Demos 34 57 56 57 49 – 64
MVPs 4 7 7 7 4 – 9

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 17 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 382.2
Avg boost 47.4
Boost stolen / game 441.5
% time at 0 boost 15.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1472.3
% supersonic 9.3%
% time high in air 3.8%
Avg distance to ball 3039.3
% time attacking third 19.8%
Demos / game 1.1
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 28.2%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Challenger13 0.540.01.38 384
S25Prospect40 0.750.781.15 360
S26Prospect28 0.570.390.86 382

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.57 0.63 0.55 – 0.71
Assists/game0.39 0.4 0.33 – 0.46
Saves/game0.86 1.0 0.86 – 1.06
Shots/game2.14 2.06 1.89 – 2.17

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
B0A._. S23Prospect 0.740.370.96 0.80
Blurrryy. S26Rival 0.480.440.96 0.89
Angry-Hermit S20Contender 0.570.570.86 0.98
fyooze S22Challenger 0.630.40.9 0.98
Angry-Hermit S21Contender 0.560.420.83 1.04
xEaglex20X S26Prospect 0.690.310.81 1.06
Dondo RF S26Rival 0.690.421.08 1.06
iiHeapCheap S26Contender 0.630.441.04 1.10
CoachJimmy_TECT S20Contender 0.540.461.08 1.15
Vulp the Philosopher S19Elite 0.50.331.0 1.17

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.