Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 333.0 | 8325 |
|
| Goals | 0.68 | 17 |
|
| Assists | 0.4 | 10 |
|
| Saves | 1.12 | 28 |
|
| Shots | 2.32 | 58 |
|
| Demos | 1.04 | 26 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 333.0 | #558 / 1215 | #72 / 166 |
| Goals | 0.68 | #588 / 1215 | #83 / 166 |
| Assists | 0.4 | #725 / 1215 | #103 / 166 |
| Saves | 1.12 | #664 / 1215 | #100 / 166 |
| Demos | 1.04 | #375 / 1215 | #50 / 166 |
60% of the season is played (25 → ~42 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (54 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 8325 | 13986 | 14020 | 14020 | 13901 – 14139 |
| Goals | 17 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 23 – 34 |
| Assists | 10 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 13 – 22 |
| Saves | 28 | 47 | 48 | 47 | 41 – 55 |
| Shots | 58 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 88 – 108 |
| Demos | 26 | 44 | 43 | 43 | 37 – 50 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 9 |
From 12 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 379.3 |
| Avg boost | 55.1 |
| Boost stolen / game | 417.6 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1527.9 |
| % supersonic | 12.0% |
| % time high in air | 4.1% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3026.4 |
| % time attacking third | 18.5% |
| Demos / game | 1.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.8 |
| Shooting % | 52.4% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S25 | Challenger | 54 | 0.8 | 0.61 | 1.07 | 357 |
| S26 | Challenger | 16 | 0.81 | 0.25 | 1.25 | 382 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.81 | 0.75 | 0.67 – 0.79 |
| Assists/game | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.25 – 0.39 |
| Saves/game | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.19 – 1.42 |
| Shots/game | 2.31 | 2.3 | 2.19 – 2.48 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OurStevie | S25 | Challenger | 0.74 | 0.3 | 1.23 | 0.74 |
| mew_jr | S17 | Master | 0.88 | 0.19 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| HannandGrenade | S17 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.33 | 1.22 | 0.94 |
| Its_Lost | S23 | Challenger | 0.75 | 0.38 | 1.38 | 1.01 |
| Turtle_Supreme | S23 | Rival | 0.71 | 0.4 | 1.19 | 1.02 |
| Mathews175 | S19 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.39 | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| Ghostie | S22 | Rival | 0.95 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.08 |
| newk . . . | S25 | Elite | 0.71 | 0.29 | 1.48 | 1.15 |
| Jacob. | S23 | Rival | 0.75 | 0.35 | 1.08 | 1.16 |
| Lup | S26 | Master | 0.68 | 0.32 | 1.46 | 1.17 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.