Blissful Beluga

Rival - Howlers - 18-10 (0.643)
56 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 56/100 Tier dominance: 80th (+0.7 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
21% of games
Shot %
36%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 394.32 11041
85th
Goals 1.18 33
93rd
Assists 0.57 16
53rd
Saves 1.25 35
35th
Shots 3.32 93
92nd
Demos 0.32 9
5th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points394.32 #146 / 1213 #20 / 164
Goals1.18 #60 / 1213 #9 / 164
Assists0.57 #403 / 1213 #60 / 164
Saves1.25 #507 / 1213 #80 / 164
Demos0.32 #892 / 1213 #127 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (28 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (138 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11041 19716 19467 19467 19318 – 19617
Goals 33 59 57 58 49 – 65
Assists 16 29 28 29 23 – 34
Saves 35 62 63 62 54 – 72
Shots 93 166 162 168 149 – 176
Demos 9 16 20 16 14 – 25
MVPs 6 11 10 10 7 – 14

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 35 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 303.7
Avg boost 57.8
Boost stolen / game 410.9
% time at 0 boost 5.3%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1448.0
% supersonic 6.7%
% time high in air 3.5%
Avg distance to ball 2901.7
% time attacking third 21.8%
Demos / game 0.3
Demos taken / game 1.3
Shooting % 31.0%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Challenger52 1.080.651.25 262
S24Rival23 0.870.520.96 293
S25Rival63 1.140.591.24 298
S26Rival28 1.180.571.25 304

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)522260-181 59% 378
RSC (official)31-2 33% 334
Non-RSC ranked 3v342-1 67% 358
Non-RSC other515257-178 59% 379

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.18 1.13 1.08 – 1.2
Assists/game0.57 0.52 0.5 – 0.6
Saves/game1.25 1.24 1.15 – 1.33
Shots/game3.32 3.22 3.0 – 3.41

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Worma S24Challenger 1.10.591.33 0.96
Blissful Beluga S25Rival 1.140.591.24 1.05
Rewind S26Prospect 1.090.520.96 1.22
Blissful Beluga S23Challenger 1.080.651.25 1.23
EyeSucka S23Rival 1.050.61.33 1.23
AnarcrisT S14Amateur 1.20.431.2 1.24
ShinxX403 S23Challenger 1.260.521.15 1.25
OvrSizedFrog S20Prospect 1.170.50.94 1.27
VickyViksta S20Challenger 1.080.51.33 1.30
Hawkish S23Veteran 1.110.661.45 1.30

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.