Blurrryy.

Rival - Guards - 15-12 (0.556)
47 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 27 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 47/100 Tier dominance: 19th (-0.9 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
0
0% of games
Shot %
23%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 294.74 7958
15th
Goals 0.56 15
22nd
Assists 0.63 17
71st
Saves 1.0 27
10th
Shots 2.44 66
44th
Demos 0.93 25
47th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points294.74 #779 / 1215 #115 / 164
Goals0.56 #750 / 1215 #105 / 164
Assists0.63 #294 / 1215 #39 / 164
Saves1.0 #738 / 1215 #115 / 164
Demos0.93 #489 / 1215 #72 / 164

Season projection

Medium confidence

56% of the season is played (27 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (76 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7958 14148 14371 14371 14241 – 14500
Goals 15 27 28 26 22 – 33
Assists 17 30 30 29 24 – 36
Saves 27 48 50 50 42 – 57
Shots 66 117 118 115 106 – 129
Demos 25 44 45 43 38 – 52
MVPs 0 0 1 1 0 – 2

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 8 /100

From 23 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 378.9
Avg boost 53.0
Boost stolen / game 446.5
% time at 0 boost 10.0%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1492.5
% supersonic 10.7%
% time high in air 5.7%
Avg distance to ball 2981.0
% time attacking third 20.6%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 20.6%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S23Rival37 0.320.351.05 357
S24Rival39 0.640.411.56 342
S26Rival23 0.480.440.96 379

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.48 0.59 0.51 – 0.64
Assists/game0.43 0.47 0.39 – 0.56
Saves/game0.96 1.04 0.93 – 1.12
Shots/game2.39 2.25 2.11 – 2.43

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Moist_Games S26Prospect 0.570.390.86 0.89
Zone Killa S25Challenger 0.60.41.22 0.93
Angry-Hermit S21Contender 0.560.420.83 0.96
LoonaStarrr S26Elite 0.480.521.11 0.98
Chill S21Elite 0.640.50.93 1.02
vAirwick S19Challenger 0.440.281.06 1.03
Dondo RF S25Rival 0.650.491.02 1.03
AGrav. S14Elite 0.50.381.12 1.07
Braamse S24Veteran 0.580.471.17 1.07
CoachJimmy_TECT S20Contender 0.540.461.08 1.10

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.