CarnageWolfBite

Challenger - Boost Steal - 2-6 (0.250)
36 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 8 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 36/100 Tier dominance: 43rd (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
12% of games
Shot %
26%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 257.38 2059
4th
Goals 0.62 5
29th
Assists 0.38 3
17th
Saves 0.62 5
2nd
Shots 2.38 19
40th
Demos 1.25 10
77th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points257.38 #884 / 1215 #128 / 166
Goals0.62 #660 / 1215 #92 / 166
Assists0.38 #761 / 1215 #109 / 166
Saves0.62 #924 / 1215 #130 / 166
Demos1.25 #237 / 1215 #28 / 166

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (8 → ~13 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (147 games across 5 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 2059 3346 3556 3556 3499 – 3612
Goals 5 8 8 8 6 – 11
Assists 3 5 5 5 3 – 7
Saves 5 8 10 9 7 – 13
Shots 19 31 31 30 26 – 36
Demos 10 16 16 20 12 – 19
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 8 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 361.5
Avg boost 47.5
Boost stolen / game 525.5
% time at 0 boost 9.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1521.5
% supersonic 11.1%
% time high in air 2.7%
Avg distance to ball 3145.2
% time attacking third 20.9%
Demos / game 1.2
Demos taken / game 1.8
Shooting % 23.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Rival15 0.530.331.4 380
S21Rival6 0.670.51.0 380
S22Rival13 0.621.080.85 402
S23Rival59 0.70.711.0 383
S24Rival41 0.540.441.0 361
S25Rival19 1.050.261.21 380
S26Challenger8 0.620.380.62 361

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.62 0.65 0.55 – 0.75
Assists/game0.38 0.39 0.33 – 0.47
Saves/game0.62 0.78 0.69 – 0.95
Shots/game2.38 2.35 2.09 – 2.44

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Phelpsy S22Elite 0.750.50.5 1.06
Reeve- S13Challenger 0.670.330.78 1.13
Versiaz S23Veteran 0.70.50.87 1.21
Angry-Hermit S21Contender 0.560.420.83 1.23
Detroeux S25Prospect 0.80.410.69 1.24
Alpha Dingo S26Challenger 0.790.460.96 1.27
Dizzy S19Master 0.50.20.7 1.32
Corrupt_Arrow S17Veteran 0.60.50.6 1.34
Moist_Games S26Prospect 0.570.390.86 1.35
ChrisMingle S13Challenger 0.830.330.75 1.35

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.