Chris.

Prospect - Okapis - 8-22 (0.267)
20 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 30 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 20/100 Tier dominance: 25th (-0.8 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Role player
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
7% of games
Shot %
30%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 298.93 8968
26th
Goals 0.7 21
41st
Assists 0.43 13
29th
Saves 1.07 32
32nd
Shots 2.3 69
43rd
Demos 0.77 23
38th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points298.93 #761 / 1215 #98 / 161
Goals0.7 #553 / 1215 #77 / 161
Assists0.43 #682 / 1215 #94 / 161
Saves1.07 #713 / 1215 #90 / 161
Demos0.77 #621 / 1215 #81 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (30 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (80 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 8968 14947 15080 15080 14956 – 15204
Goals 21 35 35 35 29 – 41
Assists 13 22 22 22 17 – 27
Saves 32 53 54 54 47 – 61
Shots 69 115 115 114 105 – 126
Demos 23 38 39 39 33 – 45
MVPs 2 3 4 4 2 – 6

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 21 /100

From 26 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 311.9
Avg boost 53.7
Boost stolen / game 492.6
% time at 0 boost 8.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1442.0
% supersonic 9.2%
% time high in air 3.3%
Avg distance to ball 3112.1
% time attacking third 20.0%
Demos / game 0.7
Demos taken / game 0.9
Shooting % 31.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S21Challenger3 0.670.01.67 309
S22Challenger9 0.890.330.22 323
S23Challenger18 0.610.391.33 327
S24Rival13 0.620.461.23 314
S25Challenger40 0.60.51.45 286
S26Prospect26 0.650.421.12 312

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~39 OVR High confidence — inferred from 307 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 20.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)74272921-3235 47% 358
RSC (official)6316-36 31% 292
Non-RSC ranked 3v3307121-131 48% 288
Non-RSC other70572784-3068 48% 362

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.65 0.68 0.63 – 0.73
Assists/game0.42 0.46 0.4 – 0.5
Saves/game1.11 1.13 1.06 – 1.23
Shots/game2.42 2.35 2.23 – 2.46

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Cynical89 S23Prospect 0.630.441.09 0.72
seandfeeney S25Contender 0.680.411.18 0.72
Ofodo S13Challenger 0.620.381.15 0.78
Hanz Simmer S24Rival 0.810.451.14 0.81
D0pey killer S24Amateur 0.730.480.96 0.82
Chris. S24Rival 0.620.461.23 0.87
1999 Toyota Camry S26Challenger 0.540.461.17 0.88
vBoostedv S26Contender 0.720.380.88 0.93
Korrello S25Prospect 0.630.291.1 0.94
TunedUpTuck S25Challenger 0.620.521.38 0.95

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.