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Contender - Kappa - 18-18 (0.500)
9 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 36 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 9/100 Tier dominance: 37th (-0.4 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
2
6% of games
Shot %
32%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 297.58 10713
37th
Goals 0.78 28
60th
Assists 0.42 15
32nd
Saves 0.92 33
17th
Shots 2.47 89
64th
Demos 0.61 22
36th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points297.58 #766 / 1215 #70 / 134
Goals0.78 #426 / 1215 #43 / 134
Assists0.42 #706 / 1215 #76 / 134
Saves0.92 #831 / 1215 #90 / 134
Demos0.61 #746 / 1215 #70 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (36 → ~56 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (26 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 10713 16665 16736 16736 16616 – 16855
Goals 28 44 43 43 37 – 49
Assists 15 23 24 22 19 – 28
Saves 33 51 52 51 45 – 59
Shots 89 138 138 135 127 – 149
Demos 22 34 35 35 29 – 41
MVPs 2 3 3 3 2 – 5

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 20 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 312.7
Avg boost 54.3
Boost stolen / game 419.9
% time at 0 boost 6.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1465.2
% supersonic 10.5%
% time high in air 3.0%
Avg distance to ball 3246.7
% time attacking third 19.9%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 0.5
Shooting % 33.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Amateur11 1.180.180.64 293
S21Contender15 0.330.20.93 278
S26Contender32 0.720.380.88 313

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.72 0.75 0.65 – 0.82
Assists/game0.38 0.41 0.35 – 0.46
Saves/game0.88 0.94 0.88 – 1.0
Shots/game2.38 2.41 2.27 – 2.5

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
XerNaut S25Contender 0.650.390.94 0.69
Chris. S26Prospect 0.650.421.12 0.93
Jay_Kay99 S23Veteran 0.620.380.77 0.99
Ducky S17Challenger 0.750.50.88 1.06
tr1ppn S13Rival 0.80.41.1 1.08
wall2wall3 S14Master 0.670.331.0 1.08
D0pey killer S24Amateur 0.730.480.96 1.09
daggumbigfeet S24Veteran 0.850.381.08 1.09
Jeoka S25Contender 0.80.350.95 1.10
MobBossCitrus S24Challenger 0.920.460.92 1.10

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.