Czelco

Challenger - Warbirds - 25-7 (0.781)
52 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 52/100 Tier dominance: 100th (+3.6 SD) Projects as: Rival ↑ Overskilled for Challenger Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
11
34% of games
Shot %
38%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 390.25 12488
83rd
Goals 1.12 36
87th
Assists 0.47 15
38th
Saves 1.19 38
38th
Shots 3.0 96
86th
Demos 6.34 203
99th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points390.25 #167 / 1213 #23 / 166
Goals1.12 #80 / 1213 #14 / 166
Assists0.47 #600 / 1213 #82 / 166
Saves1.19 #574 / 1213 #82 / 166
Demos6.34 #1 / 1213 #1 / 166

Season projection

Medium confidence

53% of the season is played (32 → ~60 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 12488 23415 23141 22968 – 23313
Goals 36 68 65 56 – 75
Assists 15 28 28 22 – 35
Saves 38 71 72 62 – 82
Shots 96 180 177 162 – 192
Demos 203 381 351 330 – 371
MVPs 11 21 20 15 – 24

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 100 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 473.2
Avg boost 49.2
Boost stolen / game 637.9
% time at 0 boost 11.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1614.9
% supersonic 18.9%
% time high in air 3.9%
Avg distance to ball 2995.2
% time attacking third 25.6%
Demos / game 6.4
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 38.0%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Challenger4 0.00.252.75 361
S26Challenger32 1.060.471.31 473

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

Low confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game1.06 0.69 0.61 – 0.75
Assists/game0.47 0.56 0.4 – 0.7
Saves/game1.31 1.26 1.06 – 1.38
Shots/game3.0 2.38 2.0 – 2.58

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
DEMOralize S23Veteran 0.770.571.26 1.62
md. S17Master 0.670.51.08 2.82
Angel <3 S22Elite 0.620.251.62 3.83
DEMOralize S24Veteran 0.810.661.3 4.20
Angel <3 S20Elite 0.50.381.88 4.92
DEMOralize S25Veteran 0.620.571.11 5.65
YourEvilTwin S17Prospect 0.751.01.0 5.65
Afino S26Veteran 0.750.950.95 5.70
Hirsch S21Master 0.710.681.29 5.75
Soda. . S23Rival 0.740.721.16 5.75

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.