D_e_r_k

Rival - Hue Heroes - 11-6 (0.647)
47 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 17 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 47/100 Tier dominance: 17th (-1.0 SD) Projects as: Rival Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
6% of games
Shot %
24%

Per-game production (percentile within Rival)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 309.82 5267
22nd
Goals 0.47 8
14th
Assists 0.71 12
83rd
Saves 1.41 24
59th
Shots 1.94 33
17th
Demos 0.88 15
39th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Rival
Points309.82 #702 / 1215 #105 / 164
Goals0.47 #831 / 1215 #115 / 164
Assists0.71 #182 / 1215 #23 / 164
Saves1.41 #349 / 1215 #55 / 164
Demos0.88 #528 / 1215 #83 / 164

Season projection

Low confidence

56% of the season is played (17 → ~30 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (113 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 5267 9295 9425 9425 9323 – 9527
Goals 8 14 15 17 11 – 19
Assists 12 21 20 21 16 – 25
Saves 24 42 42 42 35 – 49
Shots 33 58 61 63 52 – 69
Demos 15 26 27 27 22 – 33
MVPs 1 2 2 2 1 – 4

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 25 /100

From 13 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 363.8
Avg boost 48.9
Boost stolen / game 460.5
% time at 0 boost 9.5%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1520.3
% supersonic 11.8%
% time high in air 3.0%
Avg distance to ball 3160.6
% time attacking third 18.0%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 1.5
Shooting % 30.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Challenger53 0.870.531.23 377
S25Challenger60 1.00.721.43 396
S26Rival13 0.620.691.38 364

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.61 0.6 0.56 – 0.73
Assists/game0.69 0.67 0.58 – 0.71
Saves/game1.39 1.38 1.26 – 1.45
Shots/game2.15 2.29 2.08 – 2.39

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Clyde S22Veteran 0.60.681.4 0.59
Tiz Samu S24Elite 0.720.641.26 0.68
Leoniis. S17Premier 0.580.671.33 0.81
Braybaum02 S23Veteran 0.660.751.51 0.88
Skotos S18Veteran 0.580.751.42 0.91
GrandPlat S24Master 0.520.711.38 0.92
tiagosan _ S25Challenger 0.780.651.37 1.05
xolzkii S21Veteran 0.760.651.35 1.09
Terx S25Veteran 0.580.561.22 1.09
doctorprofessor_ S26Rival 0.570.681.57 1.12

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.