Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 341.34 | 10923 |
|
| Goals | 0.59 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.66 | 21 |
|
| Saves | 1.47 | 47 |
|
| Shots | 2.78 | 89 |
|
| Demos | 1.22 | 39 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 341.34 | #491 / 1215 | #76 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.59 | #710 / 1215 | #98 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.66 | #257 / 1215 | #34 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.47 | #299 / 1215 | #41 / 164 |
| Demos | 1.22 | #256 / 1215 | #38 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (32 → ~57 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (175 games across 6 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10923 | 19457 | 19456 | 19456 | 19305 – 19607 |
| Goals | 19 | 34 | 35 | 35 | 28 – 41 |
| Assists | 21 | 37 | 37 | 38 | 30 – 43 |
| Saves | 47 | 84 | 83 | 82 | 73 – 93 |
| Shots | 89 | 159 | 157 | 158 | 144 – 171 |
| Demos | 39 | 69 | 69 | 67 | 60 – 77 |
| MVPs | 9 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 11 – 20 |
From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 365.9 |
| Avg boost | 50.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 476.9 |
| % time at 0 boost | 8.8% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1474.0 |
| % supersonic | 12.6% |
| % time high in air | 3.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3097.6 |
| % time attacking third | 17.6% |
| Demos / game | 1.0 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 23.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S20 | Challenger | 16 | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.94 | 302 |
| S21 | Challenger | 16 | 0.38 | 0.88 | 1.31 | 355 |
| S22 | Challenger | 23 | 0.83 | 0.65 | 0.7 | 360 |
| S23 | Rival | 41 | 0.83 | 0.49 | 1.07 | 348 |
| S24 | Rival | 57 | 0.84 | 0.81 | 1.51 | 362 |
| S25 | Veteran | 22 | 0.86 | 0.68 | 1.14 | 336 |
| S26 | Rival | 28 | 0.57 | 0.68 | 1.57 | 366 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.57 | 0.58 | 0.56 – 0.65 |
| Assists/game | 0.68 | 0.61 | 0.56 – 0.67 |
| Saves/game | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.44 – 1.65 |
| Shots/game | 2.5 | 2.32 | 2.25 – 2.48 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrandPlat | S25 | Master | 0.68 | 0.76 | 1.68 | 0.84 |
| SGE Nemesis | S21 | Elite | 0.62 | 0.62 | 1.44 | 0.90 |
| ReedyOrange | S23 | Veteran | 0.48 | 0.56 | 1.56 | 0.91 |
| Buck | S20 | Master | 0.5 | 0.58 | 1.75 | 0.98 |
| (P|F)ineapple | S26 | Elite | 0.56 | 0.56 | 1.56 | 0.98 |
| ha ha boo. | S22 | Premier | 0.65 | 0.58 | 1.73 | 1.01 |
| Shai | S20 | Veteran | 0.64 | 0.61 | 1.71 | 1.03 |
| derrrrrrrrp | S20 | Veteran | 0.58 | 0.58 | 1.65 | 1.04 |
| OmniMurders | S26 | Veteran | 0.44 | 0.56 | 1.44 | 1.05 |
| mojomo | S22 | Master | 0.62 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.07 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.