DadOf5BoyZ

Contender - Caterpillars - 14-18 (0.438)
11 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 32 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 11/100 Tier dominance: 50th (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Contender Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
7
22% of games
Shot %
33%

Per-game production (percentile within Contender)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 334.75 10712
66th
Goals 0.72 23
53rd
Assists 0.34 11
20th
Saves 1.47 47
81st
Shots 2.19 70
41st
Demos 1.41 45
90th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Contender
Points334.75 #542 / 1215 #38 / 134
Goals0.72 #535 / 1215 #52 / 134
Assists0.34 #806 / 1215 #88 / 134
Saves1.47 #299 / 1215 #20 / 134
Demos1.41 #166 / 1215 #11 / 134

Season projection

High confidence

64% of the season is played (32 → ~50 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 10712 16738 16674 16555 – 16793
Goals 23 36 36 30 – 42
Assists 11 17 18 14 – 22
Saves 47 73 72 64 – 80
Shots 70 109 110 100 – 120
Demos 45 70 68 61 – 76
MVPs 7 11 11 8 – 14

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 39 /100

From 32 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 301.5
Avg boost 54.1
Boost stolen / game 444.9
% time at 0 boost 7.1%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1428.9
% supersonic 9.7%
% time high in air 3.3%
Avg distance to ball 3107.0
% time attacking third 17.5%
Demos / game 1.2
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 31.4%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~40 OVR High confidence — inferred from 1078 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 11.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)59862280-2438 48% 411
RSC (official)157-5 58% 388
Non-RSC ranked 3v31078378-427 47% 289
Non-RSC other48931895-2006 49% 438

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.66 0.69 0.62 – 0.75
Assists/game0.44 0.48 0.45 – 0.55
Saves/game1.56 1.48 1.4 – 1.56
Shots/game2.25 2.25 2.15 – 2.4

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
VoodooMamaJuJu S26Prospect 0.790.381.66 0.88
Chicken S24Veteran 0.670.451.48 0.98
tempo_rl_ttv S25Contender 0.510.351.53 0.99
Jarrod81535 S22Challenger 0.740.581.45 1.05
Jarrod81535 S25Rival 0.740.511.51 1.05
Lorak S22Challenger 0.670.481.48 1.08
Bazzinga S25Rival 0.820.51.57 1.11
WILLBONG S25Prospect 0.690.41.21 1.16
TDeez S22Veteran 0.810.421.54 1.20
Thunderbolt S26Challenger 0.750.381.62 1.21

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.