Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 311.0 | 10885 |
|
| Goals | 0.54 | 19 |
|
| Assists | 0.49 | 17 |
|
| Saves | 1.09 | 38 |
|
| Shots | 2.31 | 81 |
|
| Demos | 0.91 | 32 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 311.0 | #695 / 1215 | #103 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.54 | #768 / 1215 | #106 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.49 | #580 / 1215 | #82 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.09 | #699 / 1215 | #111 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.91 | #505 / 1215 | #75 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (35 → ~62 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (139 games across 3 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10885 | 19282 | 19434 | 19434 | 19283 – 19585 |
| Goals | 19 | 34 | 35 | 35 | 28 – 41 |
| Assists | 17 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 24 – 36 |
| Saves | 38 | 67 | 69 | 69 | 60 – 78 |
| Shots | 81 | 143 | 144 | 143 | 131 – 157 |
| Demos | 32 | 57 | 57 | 57 | 49 – 66 |
| MVPs | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 – 10 |
From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 416.2 |
| Avg boost | 46.3 |
| Boost stolen / game | 563.0 |
| % time at 0 boost | 18.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1547.7 |
| % supersonic | 15.9% |
| % time high in air | 4.4% |
| Avg distance to ball | 2819.4 |
| % time attacking third | 20.8% |
| Demos / game | 0.9 |
| Demos taken / game | 0.7 |
| Shooting % | 24.1% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Elite | 4 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 1.75 | 421 |
| S23 | Rival | 39 | 0.77 | 0.51 | 1.33 | 393 |
| S24 | Rival | 49 | 0.71 | 0.59 | 1.31 | 385 |
| S25 | Rival | 51 | 0.76 | 0.53 | 1.53 | 388 |
| S26 | Rival | 31 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 1.13 | 416 |
| Source | Games | Record | Win % | Score/g |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifetime (all) | 1286 | 428-612 | 41% | 334 |
| RSC (official) | 6 | 1-4 | 20% | 306 |
| Non-RSC ranked 3v3 | 9 | 0-7 | 0% | 314 |
| Non-RSC other | 1271 | 427-601 | 42% | 334 |
From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.47 – 0.6 |
| Assists/game | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.5 – 0.58 |
| Saves/game | 1.13 | 1.16 | 1.04 – 1.23 |
| Shots/game | 2.03 | 2.04 | 1.88 – 2.12 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dr_zachattack | S23 | Rival | 0.45 | 0.51 | 1.31 | 0.74 |
| luim14 | S25 | Challenger | 0.6 | 0.55 | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| Mysty | S23 | Rival | 0.56 | 0.4 | 1.16 | 0.86 |
| RealRoice_IsGetz | S24 | Veteran | 0.63 | 0.49 | 1.05 | 0.92 |
| V | S14 | Elite | 0.75 | 0.5 | 1.12 | 0.99 |
| Wafe | S23 | Elite | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.29 | 1.02 |
| Sean | S22 | Premier | 0.58 | 0.64 | 1.31 | 1.05 |
| archhie. | S17 | Veteran | 0.67 | 0.58 | 0.92 | 1.07 |
| T. | S26 | Premier | 0.65 | 0.5 | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Typhon | S13 | Master | 0.58 | 0.58 | 1.0 | 1.10 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.