Deby

Prospect - Tic Tacs - 14-11 (0.560)
25 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 25 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 25/100 Tier dominance: 66th (+0.4 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Striker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
3
12% of games
Shot %
41%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 339.76 8494
54th
Goals 0.88 22
71st
Assists 0.56 14
59th
Saves 1.16 29
46th
Shots 2.16 54
30th
Demos 0.92 23
52nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points339.76 #507 / 1215 #61 / 161
Goals0.88 #271 / 1215 #38 / 161
Assists0.56 #431 / 1215 #54 / 161
Saves1.16 #621 / 1215 #72 / 161
Demos0.92 #494 / 1215 #63 / 161

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (25 → ~42 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 8494 14270 14232 14113 – 14352
Goals 22 37 36 30 – 42
Assists 14 24 23 19 – 28
Saves 29 49 49 42 – 56
Shots 54 91 92 82 – 101
Demos 23 39 39 32 – 45
MVPs 3 5 5 3 – 8

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 68 /100

From 21 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 311.0
Avg boost 50.1
Boost stolen / game 706.9
% time at 0 boost 5.8%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1435.7
% supersonic 8.5%
% time high in air 3.1%
Avg distance to ball 2909.2
% time attacking third 23.2%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 40.9%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~72 OVR High confidence — inferred from 183 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 25.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)37401611-1469 52% 387
RSC (official)12459-42 58% 394
Non-RSC ranked 3v318377-58 57% 341
Non-RSC other34331475-1369 52% 389

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.81 0.75 0.71 – 0.82
Assists/game0.43 0.44 0.38 – 0.5
Saves/game1.24 1.17 1.1 – 1.25
Shots/game2.19 2.33 2.19 – 2.46

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
LedTasso S22Challenger 0.750.41.12 0.97
Merioch S26Prospect 0.650.41.25 1.06
AZoroARK S24Challenger 0.590.51.23 1.10
GFC-RAIDER S20Contender 0.90.51.1 1.12
Squashy S25Elite 0.780.441.11 1.13
LedTasso S23Challenger 0.680.421.29 1.16
Casca . S24Prospect 0.820.51.11 1.17
Deifik S17Challenger 0.820.271.0 1.18
bovi S24Rival 0.750.481.61 1.20
OvrSizedFrog S24Challenger 0.730.531.13 1.21

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.