Merioch

Prospect - Hostile Takeover - 15-7 (0.682)
25 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 22 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 25/100 Tier dominance: 60th (+0.2 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
8
36% of games
Shot %
29%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 331.41 7291
49th
Goals 0.64 14
32nd
Assists 0.45 10
36th
Saves 1.27 28
56th
Shots 2.23 49
38th
Demos 0.95 21
56th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points331.41 #571 / 1215 #68 / 161
Goals0.64 #644 / 1215 #86 / 161
Assists0.45 #637 / 1215 #85 / 161
Saves1.27 #498 / 1215 #58 / 161
Demos0.95 #463 / 1215 #58 / 161

Season projection

Medium confidence

60% of the season is played (22 → ~37 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (136 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 7291 12262 12259 12259 12148 – 12370
Goals 14 24 24 24 19 – 29
Assists 10 17 17 17 13 – 21
Saves 28 47 47 47 40 – 54
Shots 49 82 83 82 74 – 92
Demos 21 35 35 35 29 – 41
MVPs 8 13 13 13 9 – 16

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 21 /100

From 20 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 294.7
Avg boost 50.9
Boost stolen / game 491.9
% time at 0 boost 9.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1391.8
% supersonic 6.8%
% time high in air 4.1%
Avg distance to ball 3065.5
% time attacking third 22.7%
Demos / game 0.8
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 27.5%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S20Rival20 0.550.61.0 290
S21Rival12 0.750.421.0 279
S24Challenger59 0.680.581.48 288
S25Challenger45 0.710.531.31 284
S26Prospect20 0.650.41.25 295

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~58 OVR High confidence — inferred from 492 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 25.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)62732493-2466 50% 326
RSC (official)2919-8 70% 319
Non-RSC ranked 3v3492176-197 47% 318
Non-RSC other57522298-2261 50% 327

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.65 0.64 0.57 – 0.73
Assists/game0.4 0.43 0.4 – 0.5
Saves/game1.25 1.17 1.1 – 1.25
Shots/game2.1 2.26 2.08 – 2.36

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
IBRN_Death S24Challenger 0.480.331.19 1.00
FuLL-BLooD35 S24Amateur 0.580.421.17 1.01
Racer S20Elite 0.570.431.21 1.02
tterb86 S21Rival 0.630.531.1 1.03
LedTasso S22Challenger 0.750.41.12 1.05
Deby S26Prospect 0.810.431.24 1.06
Minjaaa S21Prospect 0.550.521.36 1.08
Zachthebull36 S23Prospect 0.730.441.1 1.14
im_link42 S25Contender 0.650.51.0 1.16
Stale Popcorn S22Contender 0.60.291.13 1.16

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.