DeeJayZ_

Prospect - Tanuki - 17-11 (0.607)
26 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 28 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 26/100 Tier dominance: 68th (+0.5 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Star all-rounder
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
6
21% of games
Shot %
34%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 423.14 11848
93rd
Goals 0.89 25
71st
Assists 0.64 18
71st
Saves 2.11 59
98th
Shots 2.61 73
62nd
Demos 1.04 29
65th

League ranking (per game, among 1213 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points423.14 #64 / 1213 #9 / 161
Goals0.89 #277 / 1213 #38 / 161
Assists0.64 #276 / 1213 #34 / 161
Saves2.11 #19 / 1213 #2 / 161
Demos1.04 #370 / 1213 #46 / 161

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (28 → ~47 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (13 games across 1 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11848 19888 19493 19493 19355 – 19632
Goals 25 42 41 40 35 – 48
Assists 18 30 30 30 24 – 35
Saves 59 99 95 95 86 – 105
Shots 73 123 122 115 111 – 133
Demos 29 49 48 46 41 – 55
MVPs 6 10 10 10 7 – 13

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 78 /100

From 28 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 334.8
Avg boost 53.8
Boost stolen / game 480.6
% time at 0 boost 5.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1463.5
% supersonic 9.8%
% time high in air 3.5%
Avg distance to ball 2835.9
% time attacking third 19.3%
Demos / game 1.0
Demos taken / game 1.1
Shooting % 33.8%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S25Challenger13 0.540.691.38 265
S26Prospect28 0.890.642.11 335

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~43 OVR High confidence — inferred from 838 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 26.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)57592439-2155 53% 451
RSC (official)41-1 50% 311
Non-RSC ranked 3v3838335-288 54% 295
Non-RSC other49172103-1866 53% 478

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.89 0.83 0.74 – 0.96
Assists/game0.64 0.61 0.54 – 0.7
Saves/game2.11 1.85 1.81 – 2.0
Shots/game2.61 2.75 2.51 – 2.85

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
ExecutivePowers S24Rival 0.90.71.92 1.09
S0UL09 S25Challenger 0.770.71.81 1.33
Raw Mushrooms S25Veteran 0.830.561.94 1.33
LC Spirit S24Elite 0.750.541.83 1.35
mr_marino_ S25Veteran 0.710.472.14 1.36
SSpekky S17Elite 1.00.752.12 1.36
Hawkish S17Veteran 1.150.622.15 1.37
Grabbitzz S21Challenger 1.00.71.85 1.37
13o0k S25Rival 1.020.561.82 1.37
HaZard S26Elite 0.940.751.75 1.38

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.