Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 358.24 | 10389 |
|
| Goals | 0.86 | 25 |
|
| Assists | 0.55 | 16 |
|
| Saves | 1.03 | 30 |
|
| Shots | 2.79 | 81 |
|
| Demos | 0.38 | 11 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Prospect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 358.24 | #358 / 1215 | #42 / 161 |
| Goals | 0.86 | #299 / 1215 | #43 / 161 |
| Assists | 0.55 | #445 / 1215 | #57 / 161 |
| Saves | 1.03 | #733 / 1215 | #96 / 161 |
| Demos | 0.38 | #886 / 1215 | #124 / 161 |
60% of the season is played (29 → ~48 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (70 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 10389 | 17196 | 17082 | 17082 | 16953 – 17211 |
| Goals | 25 | 41 | 41 | 42 | 35 – 47 |
| Assists | 16 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 21 – 32 |
| Saves | 30 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 43 – 58 |
| Shots | 81 | 134 | 132 | 133 | 121 – 144 |
| Demos | 11 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 16 – 25 |
| MVPs | 9 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 11 – 18 |
From 25 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 295.1 |
| Avg boost | 54.2 |
| Boost stolen / game | 354.2 |
| % time at 0 boost | 7.3% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1384.7 |
| % supersonic | 6.6% |
| % time high in air | 3.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3062.8 |
| % time attacking third | 17.4% |
| Demos / game | 0.4 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.0 |
| Shooting % | 27.9% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Challenger | 6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 321 |
| S22 | Challenger | 11 | 0.82 | 0.73 | 1.54 | 339 |
| S23 | Challenger | 59 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.95 | 310 |
| S26 | Prospect | 25 | 0.8 | 0.52 | 1.04 | 295 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.8 | 0.83 | 0.75 – 0.9 |
| Assists/game | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.47 – 0.62 |
| Saves/game | 1.04 | 1.09 | 1.0 – 1.27 |
| Shots/game | 2.88 | 2.57 | 2.4 – 2.68 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson_WA | S24 | Prospect | 0.86 | 0.5 | 1.04 | 0.97 |
| Charlemagne | S26 | Challenger | 1.0 | 0.62 | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Canadian "Washed Queen" Things | S13 | Elite | 0.75 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| The_Killerwon | S24 | Rival | 0.89 | 0.52 | 1.3 | 1.13 |
| Jaifinator34 | S14 | Amateur | 0.69 | 0.62 | 1.03 | 1.24 |
| xPrism | S26 | Rival | 0.65 | 0.47 | 1.12 | 1.25 |
| RyGuy2flie | S24 | Prospect | 0.76 | 0.55 | 1.0 | 1.25 |
| Calicat01 | S24 | Rival | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| Calicat01 | S20 | Challenger | 0.87 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.28 |
| Fetty_Steve98 | S22 | Prospect | 0.83 | 0.5 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.