Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).
Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.
Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.
Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.
| Stat | Per game | Total | Percentile in tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 337.24 | 11466 |
|
| Goals | 0.62 | 21 |
|
| Assists | 0.47 | 16 |
|
| Saves | 1.5 | 51 |
|
| Shots | 2.44 | 83 |
|
| Demos | 0.5 | 17 |
|
| Stat | Per game | Overall rank | Rank in Rival |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 337.24 | #524 / 1215 | #84 / 164 |
| Goals | 0.62 | #679 / 1215 | #94 / 164 |
| Assists | 0.47 | #607 / 1215 | #86 / 164 |
| Saves | 1.5 | #240 / 1215 | #32 / 164 |
| Demos | 0.5 | #806 / 1215 | #120 / 164 |
56% of the season is played (34 → ~60 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (158 games across 4 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.
| Stat | Now | Pace | Projected (season) | Projected (all data) | 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 11466 | 20234 | 20254 | 20254 | 20101 – 20407 |
| Goals | 21 | 37 | 38 | 38 | 31 – 44 |
| Assists | 16 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 23 – 34 |
| Saves | 51 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 79 – 99 |
| Shots | 83 | 146 | 147 | 146 | 134 – 160 |
| Demos | 17 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 26 – 39 |
| MVPs | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 3 – 8 |
From 30 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.
| Boost / min | 346.0 |
| Avg boost | 46.9 |
| Boost stolen / game | 438.8 |
| % time at 0 boost | 12.1% |
| Avg speed (uu/s) | 1402.1 |
| % supersonic | 7.8% |
| % time high in air | 3.7% |
| Avg distance to ball | 3084.1 |
| % time attacking third | 18.7% |
| Demos / game | 0.5 |
| Demos taken / game | 1.3 |
| Shooting % | 25.0% |
| Season | Tier | Games | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Boost/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S21 | Veteran | 17 | 1.12 | 0.24 | 2.06 | 332 |
| S22 | Veteran | 48 | 0.62 | 0.29 | 1.08 | 321 |
| S23 | Veteran | 39 | 0.72 | 0.41 | 1.69 | 318 |
| S24 | Veteran | 54 | 0.83 | 0.52 | 1.37 | 342 |
| S25 | Veteran | 6 | 0.5 | 0.17 | 2.5 | 346 |
| S26 | Rival | 30 | 0.6 | 0.47 | 1.6 | 346 |
Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.
| Stat | This season | Comparables median | Typical range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals/game | 0.6 | 0.62 | 0.6 – 0.7 |
| Assists/game | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.39 – 0.5 |
| Saves/game | 1.6 | 1.58 | 1.44 – 1.66 |
| Shots/game | 2.47 | 2.38 | 2.28 – 2.47 |
Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.
| Player | Season | Tier | Goals/g | Assists/g | Saves/g | Similarity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speciial_Eddy | S23 | Challenger | 0.61 | 0.36 | 1.58 | 0.78 |
| Mikee GFuelcom | S17 | Veteran | 0.62 | 0.44 | 1.44 | 0.82 |
| th3lofty | S21 | Amateur | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.53 | 0.89 |
| Obay JackTTV | S14 | Contender | 0.69 | 0.38 | 1.56 | 0.89 |
| Cob | S26 | Rival | 0.62 | 0.46 | 1.38 | 0.90 |
| DrSkimMilk | S23 | Veteran | 0.72 | 0.41 | 1.69 | 0.97 |
| Pistonless | S26 | Contender | 0.75 | 0.53 | 1.59 | 0.98 |
| VickyViksta | S22 | Challenger | 0.52 | 0.39 | 1.7 | 1.00 |
| Cob | S23 | Rival | 0.57 | 0.48 | 1.6 | 1.01 |
| RaunchyRomanian | S18 | Master | 0.62 | 0.56 | 1.81 | 1.01 |
Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.
Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.