DrizzyJ

Challenger - Scribes - 16-19 (0.457)
37 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 35 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 37/100 Tier dominance: 48th (-0.2 SD) Projects as: Challenger Role: Anchor
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
9
26% of games
Shot %
23%

Per-game production (percentile within Challenger)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 339.86 11895
52nd
Goals 0.6 21
26th
Assists 0.43 15
29th
Saves 1.54 54
81st
Shots 2.63 92
59th
Demos 0.57 20
22nd

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Challenger
Points339.86 #506 / 1215 #64 / 166
Goals0.6 #692 / 1215 #97 / 166
Assists0.43 #685 / 1215 #93 / 166
Saves1.54 #215 / 1215 #25 / 166
Demos0.57 #770 / 1215 #103 / 166

Season projection

High confidence

60% of the season is played (35 → ~58 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). Projected (all data) instead regresses toward the player’s own career rate (111 games across 2 past seasons). Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) Projected (all data) 80% range
Points 11895 19712 19718 19718 19577 – 19858
Goals 21 35 35 39 29 – 42
Assists 15 25 25 26 20 – 30
Saves 54 89 88 88 79 – 98
Shots 92 152 152 156 140 – 164
Demos 20 33 35 33 29 – 41
MVPs 9 15 14 14 11 – 18

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

Advanced OVR 19 /100

From 31 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Advanced OVR is a percentile among the 762 players with enough replay data - separate from the box-score OVR above.

Boost / min 380.7
Avg boost 48.7
Boost stolen / game 488.0
% time at 0 boost 14.9%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1465.0
% supersonic 8.9%
% time high in air 3.7%
Avg distance to ball 2999.3
% time attacking third 21.8%
Demos / game 0.6
Demos taken / game 1.0
Shooting % 22.1%

Career history (season over season)

SeasonTierGamesGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gBoost/min
S24Prospect52 1.350.861.36 377
S25Challenger59 1.150.461.37 349
S26Challenger31 0.610.421.52 381

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

External skill estimate: ~65 OVR High confidence — inferred from 374 public ranked-3v3 games (their score/game maps to OVR; this signal correlates ~0.71 with RSC OVR). Their actual RSC OVR is 37.
SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)26621183-951 55% 377
RSC (official)127-2 78% 327
Non-RSC ranked 3v3374149-143 51% 330
Non-RSC other22761027-806 56% 386

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.61 0.73 0.62 – 0.78
Assists/game0.42 0.47 0.39 – 0.52
Saves/game1.52 1.47 1.38 – 1.6
Shots/game2.68 2.54 2.4 – 2.62

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
StruttRL S24Challenger 0.540.461.46 0.79
xmanyaknow S25Veteran 0.580.471.47 0.83
Jackowanou S25Elite 0.610.461.73 1.04
V15 ehf S13Master 0.640.461.73 1.07
hoyci S24Rival 0.620.481.41 1.08
Jarrtsu S26Elite 0.720.281.41 1.09
Syncopace S18Veteran 0.620.51.62 1.11
mojomo (Goofy and Silly) S25Master 0.750.31.5 1.12
RaunchyRomanian S19Master 0.750.331.25 1.20
Spul4k S26Challenger 0.880.381.62 1.21

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.