Dusk

Prospect - Fairies - 5-3 (0.625)
24 OVR
overall rating (0–100) · 8 games · how is this calculated?
Overall rating 24/100 Tier dominance: 56th (+0.1 SD) Projects as: Prospect Role: Playmaker
How are these calculated?

Composite: each per-game stat (goals, assists, saves, shots, demos, shooting %, MVPs) is turned into a z-score vs the player's tier peers, weighted by how much it correlates with winning, summed, then shrunk toward the tier average for small samples (games / (games + 8)).

Tier dominance: that composite expressed two ways - a percentile within the tier (rank), and a margin in standard deviations above the tier average (how big an outlier). The margin is what flags genuine outliers vs. someone merely top of a tight tier.

Overall rating (0-100): the composite plus a tier-strength bonus (Premier counts most), turned into a league-wide percentile - so it's comparable across tiers, unlike tier dominance.

Projects as: re-sorting every player by overall skill into the tiers' real sizes, the tier this player would land in. Projecting up a tier (and being an outlier) = "overskilled." A model estimate.

MVPs
1
12% of games
Shot %
26%

Per-game production (percentile within Prospect)

StatPer gameTotalPercentile in tier
Points 340.0 2720
55th
Goals 0.75 6
50th
Assists 0.62 5
71st
Saves 1.38 11
69th
Shots 2.88 23
81st
Demos 0.88 7
48th

League ranking (per game, among 1215 players)

StatPer gameOverall rankRank in Prospect
Points340.0 #504 / 1215 #60 / 161
Goals0.75 #455 / 1215 #64 / 161
Assists0.62 #297 / 1215 #38 / 161
Saves1.38 #385 / 1215 #41 / 161
Demos0.88 #531 / 1215 #69 / 161

Season projection

Low confidence

60% of the season is played (8 → ~13 games). Projected (this season) blends the current rate with the tier average (regression to the mean). . Pace is the naive "keep current rate" number. Range = 80% prediction interval on the this-season projection.

Stat Now Pace Projected (season) 80% range
Points 2720 4420 4396 4336 – 4457
Goals 6 10 10 7 – 13
Assists 5 8 8 5 – 10
Saves 11 18 17 14 – 21
Shots 23 37 36 31 – 41
Demos 7 11 11 8 – 15
MVPs 1 2 2 1 – 3

Advanced stats (ballchasing)

From 8 ballchasing replays (matches + scrims). Not enough replays for an Advanced OVR yet.

Boost / min 405.2
Avg boost 52.5
Boost stolen / game 565.1
% time at 0 boost 12.7%
Avg speed (uu/s) 1526.8
% supersonic 13.6%
% time high in air 3.6%
Avg distance to ball 2631.5
% time attacking third 21.2%
Demos / game 0.9
Demos taken / game 0.8
Shooting % 25.8%

Beyond RSC - lifetime & other play

SourceGames RecordWin % Score/g
Lifetime (all)19173-80 48% 418
Non-RSC ranked 3v320-0 None 229
Non-RSC other18973-80 48% 420

From public ballchasing replays (score-based, so no goals/saves breakdown). Non-RSC play tracks a player's overall level well but not their standing within a tier — see the ratings notes. Only players with a Steam id and uploaded public games appear here.

Historical analysis - data: Official · All seasons (change in the nav)

Comparable-based outlook

High confidence

Where the 25 most similar players from 11 completed past season(s) landed for each per-game stat (median + middle-50% range). A "players like you finished here" anchor that complements the pace projection above.

StatThis seasonComparables medianTypical range
Goals/game0.75 0.81 0.75 – 0.88
Assists/game0.62 0.62 0.59 – 0.67
Saves/game1.38 1.38 1.33 – 1.49
Shots/game2.88 2.81 2.69 – 2.88

Most similar players (across RSC history)

Nearest matches by per-game production & play-style (goals, assists, saves, shots, boost, speed, positioning, demos), standardized across 6659 player-seasons. Lower distance = more similar.

PlayerSeasonTierGoals/gAssists/gSaves/gSimilarity
Nehtaro S18Master 0.750.671.25 0.57
Chase S23Rival 0.790.681.3 0.71
Neoblastz S26Premier 0.70.671.3 0.76
SirTommyNoble S22Veteran 0.820.681.33 0.81
xim S24Master 0.850.51.45 0.83
Vera S25Veteran 0.770.61.35 0.84
iHydro S20Contender 0.920.581.33 0.87
NoobZ S13Elite 0.880.621.38 0.89
xDracO0 S23Rival 0.860.611.3 0.89
xPotatodactylx S25Prospect 0.840.711.53 0.90

Descriptive comparables - cross-season stat scales can shift, and players who changed names between seasons won't link.


Data source: live (rscna.com) - standings & schedule refresh hourly.